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Summary for Tropical Storm ENRIQUE (EP1/EP062015)

2015-07-16 04:38:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...ENRIQUE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC... As of 8:00 PM PDT Wed Jul 15 the center of ENRIQUE was located near 19.2, -134.1 with movement WNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm ENRIQUE Public Advisory Number 15

2015-07-16 04:38:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 PM PDT WED JUL 15 2015 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 160238 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062015 800 PM PDT WED JUL 15 2015 ...ENRIQUE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.2N 134.1W ABOUT 1580 MI...2540 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Enrique was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 134.1 West. Enrique is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Enrique is expected to become a tropical depression on Thursday and a remnant low by Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km), mainly northwest through northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Tropical Storm ENRIQUE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15

2015-07-16 04:38:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU JUL 16 2015 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 160238 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062015 0300 UTC THU JUL 16 2015 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 134.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm ENRIQUE Forecast Advisory Number 15

2015-07-16 04:36:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU JUL 16 2015 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 160236 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062015 0300 UTC THU JUL 16 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 134.1W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 30SE 60SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 134.1W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 133.8W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.8N 135.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.3N 136.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.5N 136.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.3N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.8N 137.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 19.7N 137.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 134.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm ENRIQUE Graphics

2015-07-15 22:37:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 15 Jul 2015 20:37:50 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 15 Jul 2015 20:35:45 GMT

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