je.st
news
Tag: depression
Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2016-07-22 10:34:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI JUL 22 2016 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 220834 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082016 0900 UTC FRI JUL 22 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Summary for Tropical Depression EIGHT-E (EP3/EP082016)
2016-07-22 10:33:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... As of 2:00 AM PDT Fri Jul 22 the center of EIGHT-E was located near 11.8, -116.0 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Graphics
2016-07-22 05:21:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 22 Jul 2016 02:50:22 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 22 Jul 2016 03:08:26 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2016-07-22 04:49:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUL 22 2016 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 220249 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082016 0300 UTC FRI JUL 22 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
2016-07-22 04:49:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT THU JUL 21 2016 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 220249 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082016 800 PM PDT THU JUL 21 2016 Visible satellite imagery and a 2309 UTC SSMIS microwave overpass showed that the depression's center of circulation was located near the northeastern edge of the cloud mass, indicative that some northeasterly shear is impinging on the cloud pattern. The Dvorak satellite intensity estimates have not changed during the past 6 hours, and the initial intensity remains at 30 kt. Light to moderate northeasterly shear is expected to continue for the next couple of days as the depression traverses warm water. Gradual strengthening seems reasonable and this forecast trend is supported by most of the statistical-dynamical guidance. Beyond day 3, however, the depression is expected to encounter decreasing SSTs of below 25C, and move into a more stable thermodynamic environment which should influence slow weakening through the remainder of the period. The latest NHC forecast is similar to the previous one, and is based primarily on the IVCN multi-model guidance. Conventional satellite position fixes and a couple of microwave overpasses yield an initial motion estimate of 295/11 kt, south of a strong subtropical ridge along 29N originating from Texas/northern Mexico. This ridge is expected to steer the cyclone generally west-northwestward through the 96 hour period. Afterward, the global and regional model guidance still shows increasing spread with time. The ECMWF is basically the outlier this evening, showing a much more north-northwestward turn into a break in the ridge created by a combination of a digging upper-level low, and Tropical Storm Frank to the northeast of the depression. All the other guidance agree more with a gradual turn toward the northwest through day 5. The official forecast splits these two solutions, but is hedged a bit toward the model cluster reflecting a less poleward turn. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0300Z 11.6N 115.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 22/1200Z 12.3N 116.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 23/0000Z 13.1N 118.6W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 23/1200Z 13.8N 120.7W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 24/0000Z 14.4N 122.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 25/0000Z 16.0N 125.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 26/0000Z 17.4N 127.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 120H 27/0000Z 18.3N 129.1W 55 KT 65 MPH $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Sites : [1118] [1119] [1120] [1121] [1122] [1123] [1124] [1125] [1126] [1127] [1128] [1129] [1130] [1131] [1132] [1133] [1134] [1135] [1136] [1137] next »