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Summary for Tropical Depression SIX (AT1/AL062015)
2015-08-30 07:33:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC... ...HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS... As of 1:30 AM AST Sun Aug 30 the center of SIX was located near 12.1, -18.4 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression SIX Public Advisory Number 1
2015-08-30 07:33:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 130 AM AST SUN AUG 30 2015 000 WTNT31 KNHC 300533 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 130 AM AST SUN AUG 30 2015 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC... ...HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 130 AM AST...0530 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.1N 18.4W ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Meteorological Service of the Cape Verde Islands has issued a Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning for all of the Cape Verde Islands. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cape Verde Islands A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cape Verde Islands A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 130 AM AST (0530 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six was located near latitude 12.1 North, longitude 18.4 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track the depression is expected to move through the Cape Verde Islands as a tropical storm on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later this morning. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by early Monday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Hurricane conditions are also possible within the watch area by late Monday. RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches on Monday. These rains could produce flash flooding and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Depression SIX Forecast Advisory Number 1
2015-08-30 07:33:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0530 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015 000 WTNT21 KNHC 300533 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 0530 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ALL OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE VERDE ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE VERDE ISLANDS A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 18.4W AT 30/0530Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 18.4W AT 30/0530Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 17.7W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 12.7N 19.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 13.9N 21.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.3N 23.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.6N 24.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.3N 29.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 18.9N 32.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N 36.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 18.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E Graphics
2015-08-27 05:20:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 27 Aug 2015 02:52:14 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 27 Aug 2015 03:08:22 GMT
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Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2015-08-27 04:49:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 270248 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132015 0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2015 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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