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Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2020-08-26 16:53:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 26 2020 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 261453 CCA PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132020 1500 UTC WED AUG 26 2020 CORRECTED ADVISORY NUMBER AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MANZANILLO 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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Summary for Tropical Depression Thirteen-E (EP3/EP132020)
2020-08-26 16:52:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION DRIFTING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OFFSHORE THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 9:00 AM MDT Wed Aug 26 the center of Thirteen-E was located near 17.3, -106.1 with movement ENE at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Public Advisory Number 2
2020-08-26 16:52:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Wed Aug 26 2020 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 261452 CCA TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Advisory Number 2...CORRECTED NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132020 900 AM MDT Wed Aug 26 2020 CORRECTED ADIVSORY NUMBER ...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION DRIFTING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OFFSHORE THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 106.1W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Thirteen-E was located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 106.1 West. The depression is temporarily drifting toward the east-northeast near 2 mph (4 km/h), and a turn toward the north-northeast is forecast later today. A turn toward the north-northwest is expected on Thursday followed by a turn toward the west-northwest on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of the tropical cyclone, along with the strongest winds and heaviest rains, is expected to remain just offshore the southwestern coast of Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression could become a tropical storm on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
2020-08-26 16:51:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 26 2020 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 261451 CCA TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132020 1500 UTC WED AUG 26 2020 CORRECTED ADVISORY NUMBER THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 106.1W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 106.1W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 106.4W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.1N 106.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.0N 106.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 10NE 20SE 30SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.4N 107.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 10NE 20SE 30SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.4N 108.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.2N 110.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.6N 112.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 22.6N 114.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 106.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Graphics
2020-08-26 16:46:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 26 Aug 2020 14:46:24 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 26 Aug 2020 15:38:52 GMT
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