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Summary for Tropical Depression Five-E (EP5/EP052019)
2019-07-23 04:34:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON TUESDAY... As of 8:00 PM PDT Mon Jul 22 the center of Five-E was located near 17.6, -116.8 with movement NNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Five-E Public Advisory Number 4
2019-07-23 04:34:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Mon Jul 22 2019 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 230234 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Five-E Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052019 800 PM PDT Mon Jul 22 2019 ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.6N 116.8W ABOUT 575 MI...930 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five-E was located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 116.8 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. Afterward, a turn toward the northwest is expected on Wednesday followed by a turn toward the west-northwest on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible over the next day or so, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm Tuesday. By Wednesday, the tropical cyclone is expected to commence a weakening trend. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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Tropical Depression Three Graphics
2019-07-23 04:33:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 23 Jul 2019 02:33:58 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 23 Jul 2019 03:24:13 GMT
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Tropical Depression Five-E Forecast Advisory Number 4
2019-07-23 04:33:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUL 23 2019 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 230233 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052019 0300 UTC TUE JUL 23 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 116.8W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 116.8W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 116.7W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.5N 117.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.6N 117.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 20.5N 118.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 21.2N 119.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.5N 122.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 116.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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Tropical Depression Three Forecast Discussion Number 2
2019-07-23 04:32:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019 000 WTNT43 KNHC 230232 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Three Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032019 1100 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019 The depression has become less organized this evening. Much of the deep convection seen earlier in the day has dissipated, and the cyclone currently consists of a swirl of low-level clouds with some shower activity. The initial intensity is held at 25 kt based on the earlier ASCAT data. The system is moving northwestward at 9 kt, steered by the southwestern periphery of the Atlantic subtropical ridge. A turn to the north and north-northeast with a notable increase in forward speed is expected on Tuesday as the depression moves in the flow between the subtropical ridge and an approaching deep-layer trough moving across the eastern United States. The NHC track forecast is similar to the previous one and keeps the center of the cyclone offshore of the east coast of Florida. This prediction is near the multi-model consensus TVCN. Significant strengthening of the depression is not expected given its poor initial state and because it is forecast to move into a region of strong southwesterly flow aloft by late Tuesday. In fact, the global and regional models all show the depression opening into a trough within the next 24 hours, with the remnants of the system becoming absorbed within a frontal zone off the southeast U.S. on Wednesday. The NHC intensity forecast is a little lower than the previous one and now shows dissipation occurring sooner, by 36 hours. Direct impacts from the depression are expected to be limited to 1 to 3 inches of rainfall in the Bahamas and along the east coast of Florida. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/0300Z 26.1N 79.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 23/1200Z 28.4N 79.8W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 24/0000Z 31.7N 78.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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