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Tropical Depression Six-E Public Advisory Number 1
2018-06-27 22:33:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Wed Jun 27 2018 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 272033 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062018 300 PM MDT Wed Jun 27 2018 ...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS, EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.3N 108.5W ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 670 MI...1075 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six-E was located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 108.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this general motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Depression Six-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2018-06-27 22:33:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUN 27 2018 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 272033 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062018 2100 UTC WED JUN 27 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 108.5W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 108.5W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 107.9W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 14.1N 110.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.1N 112.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.0N 114.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.6N 116.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.5N 119.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 18.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 19.5N 126.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 108.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression Daniel Graphics
2018-06-26 11:29:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 26 Jun 2018 09:29:33 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 26 Jun 2018 09:29:33 GMT
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Tropical Depression Daniel Forecast Discussion Number 10
2018-06-26 10:33:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Tue Jun 26 2018 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 260833 TCDEP5 Tropical Depression Daniel Discussion Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052018 200 AM PDT Tue Jun 26 2018 The last bit of convection occurred around 0600 UTC, consisting of cloud tops to -30C to -35C. This allowed TAFB to provide a Dvorak satellite current intensity (CI) estimate of 30 kt. This was enough to still classify Daniel as a tropical depression. Since that time, however, the convection has eroded significantly and cloud tops have warmed to only around -15C. Weakening is expected during the next couple of days as the small cyclone moves over SSTs less than 24C and also ingests more stable, cold-air stratocumulus clouds. Degeneration into a remnant low pressure is expected later this morning, with dissipation is forecast by 48 hours. The next advisory could easily be the last forecast required for this system. The shallow cyclone is moving west-northwestward at 7-8 kt. Now that Daniel has become embedded within the low-level easterly trade wind flow, the cyclone and its remnants should move westward at around 10 kt until dissipation occurs in a couple of days. The official foreast track is just an update and extension of the previous advisory track, and closely follows the consensus track models HCCA and TCVE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0900Z 19.9N 119.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 26/1800Z 20.1N 120.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 27/0600Z 20.1N 122.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 27/1800Z 20.0N 124.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Depression Daniel Graphics
2018-06-26 10:32:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 26 Jun 2018 08:32:39 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 26 Jun 2018 08:32:39 GMT
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