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Summary for Tropical Depression Daniel (EP5/EP052018)
2018-06-26 04:34:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DANIEL FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW SOON... As of 8:00 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 the center of Daniel was located near 19.7, -118.8 with movement WNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Daniel Public Advisory Number 9
2018-06-26 04:34:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 260234 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Daniel Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052018 800 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 ...DANIEL FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW SOON... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.7N 118.8W ABOUT 615 MI...985 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Daniel was located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 118.8 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn to the west is anticipated soon, and this motion should continue until dissipation. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Daniel is expected to degenerate into a remnant low pressure area on Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Tropical Depression Daniel Forecast Discussion Number 9
2018-06-26 04:34:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 260234 TCDEP5 Tropical Depression Daniel Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052018 800 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 The depression consists of a tight swirl of low clouds with a small patch of deep convection well to the south of the center. The initial intensity is kept at 30 kt in this advisory based on continuity. However, given that the system is over cold waters and devoid of deep convection, the NHC forecast calls for Daniel to become a remnant low on Tuesday. The shallow cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest or 285 degrees at 8 kt embedded within the easterly trade winds. Daniel or its remnants should move toward the west until dissipation in a day or so. Guidance is very consistent with this solution. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0300Z 19.7N 118.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 26/1200Z 20.0N 120.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 27/0000Z 20.2N 122.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 27/1200Z 20.0N 124.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
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Tropical Depression Daniel Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2018-06-26 04:34:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 26 2018 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 260234 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052018 0300 UTC TUE JUN 26 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 120W 34 9 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Depression Daniel Forecast Advisory Number 9
2018-06-26 04:33:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 26 2018 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 260233 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052018 0300 UTC TUE JUN 26 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 118.8W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 118.8W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 118.4W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.0N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.2N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.0N 124.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 118.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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