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Tropical Depression Sixteen-E Graphics
2017-09-13 19:41:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 13 Sep 2017 17:41:35 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 13 Sep 2017 15:41:29 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Sixteen-E (EP1/EP162017)
2017-09-13 19:39:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED... ...VERY HEAVY RAINS ALREADY ON THE COAST OF MEXICO... As of 1:00 PM CDT Wed Sep 13 the center of Sixteen-E was located near 16.1, -101.6 with movement NNE at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Sixteen-E Public Advisory Number 1A
2017-09-13 19:39:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 131739 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Sixteen-E Intermediate Advisory Number 1A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162017 100 PM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED... ...VERY HEAVY RAINS ALREADY ON THE COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.1N 101.6W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Zihuatanejo to Punta Maldonado A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Sixteen-E was located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 101.6 West. The depression has been moving little for the past couple of hours, but is expected to resume a north-northeast track near 5 mph (7 km/h) later today. This motion will bring the center of the depression near the coast of Mexico tonight and then inland on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant change in strength is anticipated before the depression moves inland. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches with maximum totals of 15 inches across southern portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacan. These rainfall amounts may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area later today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Tropical Depression Sixteen-E Graphics
2017-09-13 17:00:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 13 Sep 2017 15:00:11 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 13 Sep 2017 15:00:12 GMT
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Tropical Depression Sixteen-E Forecast Discussion Number 1
2017-09-13 16:55:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 131455 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Sixteen-E Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162017 1000 AM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017 Satellite images indicate that the area of disturbed weather near the southwest coast of Mexico has developed a well-defined center surrounded by bands of deep convection. T-numbers from both TAFB and SAB are 2.0 on the Dvorak scale and on this basis, advisories have been initiated on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E. A portion of the circulation is already interacting with land, and no significant strengthening is forecast before the center moves inland. Given that the there is a possibility of tropical storm force winds mainly in gusts, the government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm watch for a portion of the coast. The depression is located at the bottom of a large mid-latitude trough, and this pattern will carry the depression slowly northeastward toward the coast of Mexico, and then farther inland where the cyclone is expected to become a remnant low. Very heavy rains are the main threat from this tropical cyclone. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/1500Z 16.2N 101.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 14/0000Z 16.7N 101.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 14/1200Z 17.0N 100.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 15/0000Z 17.0N 99.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 48H 15/1200Z 17.0N 98.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND $$ Forecaster Avila
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