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Tropical Depression NARDA Graphics
2013-10-09 17:08:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 09 Oct 2013 14:43:58 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 09 Oct 2013 15:04:45 GMT
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narda
Tropical Depression NARDA Forecast Discussion Number 12
2013-10-09 16:43:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT WED OCT 09 2013 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 091443 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142013 800 AM PDT WED OCT 09 2013 A LIMITED AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS ONGOING IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE...ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN NARDA AS A MARGINAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR ANOTHER ADVISORY CYCLE. DVORAK ESTIMATES CONTINUE TO FALL AND THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS SET TO 25 KT. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN THE STABLE STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN WHICH...ALONG WITH SOME SHEAR...SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO FURTHER WEAKENING. NARDA IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW BY THIS EVENING AND DISSIPATE IN 2-3 DAYS. NARDA IS DRIFTING WESTWARD...AND SHOULD TURN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD LATER TODAY DUE TO LOW-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY TRADES OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. THE GLOBAL MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO...AND THE NEW TRACK FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ONE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/1500Z 16.9N 128.5W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 10/0000Z 16.7N 128.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 10/1200Z 16.3N 129.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 11/0000Z 15.8N 130.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 11/1200Z 15.3N 131.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression NARDA Forecast Advisory Number 12
2013-10-09 16:42:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 09 2013 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 091442 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142013 1500 UTC WED OCT 09 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 128.5W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 128.5W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 128.4W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.7N 128.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.3N 129.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.8N 130.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.3N 131.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 128.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Summary for Tropical Depression NARDA (EP4/EP142013)
2013-10-09 16:42:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NARDA BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE... As of 8:00 AM PDT Wed Oct 9 the center of NARDA was located near 16.9, -128.5 with movement W at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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narda
Tropical Depression NARDA Public Advisory Number 12
2013-10-09 16:42:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT WED OCT 09 2013 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 091442 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142013 800 AM PDT WED OCT 09 2013 ...NARDA BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 128.5W ABOUT 1275 MI...2055 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.5 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND NARDA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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