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Post-Tropical Cyclone NARDA Public Advisory Number 16
2013-10-10 16:33:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT THU OCT 10 2013 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 101433 TCPEP4 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NARDA ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142013 800 AM PDT THU OCT 10 2013 ...NARDA DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.3N 129.1W ABOUT 1330 MI...2140 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NARDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.1 WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE REMNANT LOW IS FOECAST TO DISSIPATE IN DAY OR TWO. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Post-Tropical Cyclone NARDA Forecast Advisory Number 16
2013-10-10 16:33:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 10 2013 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 101433 TCMEP4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142013 1500 UTC THU OCT 10 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 129.1W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 129.1W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 128.9W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.2N 129.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.5N 130.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 129.1W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Depression NARDA Graphics
2013-10-10 11:08:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2013 08:32:06 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 10 Oct 2013 09:04:47 GMT
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Tropical Depression NARDA Forecast Discussion Number 15
2013-10-10 10:32:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT THU OCT 10 2013 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 100832 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142013 200 AM PDT THU OCT 10 2013 A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...AND NARDA CONTINUES TO CLING TO TROPICAL CYCLONE STATUS. HOWEVER...PERSISTENT STRONG SHEAR AND DRY AIR SHOULD RESULT IN NARDA BECOMING A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY...WITH DISSIPATION EXPECTED BY 72 HOURS. THE CYCLONE CENTER HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN GEOSTATIONARY IMAGERY...BUT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE CENTER IS A LITTLE TO THE EAST OF PREVIOUS ESTIMATES. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 240/02...AND A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH DISSIPATION AS NARDA IS STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/0900Z 16.4N 128.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 10/1800Z 16.1N 129.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 11/0600Z 15.6N 130.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 11/1800Z 15.0N 131.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 12/0600Z 14.5N 132.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Summary for Tropical Depression NARDA (EP4/EP142013)
2013-10-10 10:31:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NARDA MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD... As of 2:00 AM PDT Thu Oct 10 the center of NARDA was located near 16.4, -128.9 with movement WSW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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