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Brown Shoe Co Inc - 10-Q - Management's Discussion and Analysis of...
2014-09-11 10:15:32| Footwear - Topix.net
OVERVIEW The financial results of our second quarter of 2014 reflect the health of both our retail and wholesale businesses, as we continue to benefit from our portfolio realignment efforts. Our Wholesale Operations segment reported improvements in net sales and gross profit, as our trend-right merchandise resonated with both consumers and retailers, while the for the second quarter of 2013.
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Tropical Storm ODILE Forecast Discussion Number 4
2014-09-11 04:41:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2014 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 110240 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ODILE DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014 800 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2014 Odile's low-level center remains exposed on the northeastern edge of the deep convection due to about 15 kt of north-northeasterly shear. The Dvorak satellite estimate from TAFB is still 45 kt, while the estimate from SAB has increased to 35 kt, so the initial intensity is raised to 40 kt. The vertical shear is expected to gradually abate during the next 24 or so, which should allow Odile to steadily strengthen. After that time, low shear and very warm waters should support a faster rate of intensification, and Odile is forecast to become a hurricane in about 36 hours. The SHIPS model is still the most aggressive intensity model, showing Odile reaching major hurricane status by day 3. The NHC intensity forecast is very close to an average of the SHIPS and LGEM models and is only a little higher than the previous forecast at days 3 and 4. Odile is slowing down in weak steering flow, and the initial motion estimate is 310/3 kt. The cyclone is expected to remain in this environment for another 48 hours and will likely meander or drift generally west-northwestward during this time. By day 3, a mid-level high over the northern Gulf of Mexico is forecast to expand westward over Mexico and cause Odile to accelerate toward the northwest through the end of the forecast period. The track guidance has again shifted westward on this cycle, and now all of the models, except for the GFDL, bring the center of Odile west of the Baja California peninsula on days 4 and 5. The updated NHC track forecast lies to the west of the previous forecast and the model consensus TVCE, especially after 48 hours. However, the most reliable global models, the GFS and ECMWF, are even farther west, and additional adjustments to the NHC forecast may be required on future advisories. Even though the forecast track has shifted a little further away from the Mexican coast, there is a lot of uncertainty about how big Odile's wind field will get in a couple of days. Most of the guidance shows a significant increase in the 34-kt wind radii, and on this basis, the Government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm watch for the southwestern coast of Mexico from Lazaro Cardenas to Manzanillo. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/0300Z 15.5N 103.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 11/1200Z 15.6N 103.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 12/0000Z 15.6N 104.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 12/1200Z 15.7N 104.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 48H 13/0000Z 16.2N 104.7W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 14/0000Z 18.0N 106.8W 90 KT 105 MPH 96H 15/0000Z 21.0N 110.0W 95 KT 110 MPH 120H 16/0000Z 24.0N 113.5W 90 KT 105 MPH $$ Forecaster Berg
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TRC Companies Inc /de/ - 10-K - Management's Discussion and Analysis...
2014-09-10 22:47:13| Waste Management - Topix.net
You should read the following discussion of our results of operations and financial condition in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. This discussion contains forward-looking statements that are based upon current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties.
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Tropical Storm ODILE Forecast Discussion Number 3
2014-09-10 22:40:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2014 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 102040 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ODILE DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014 200 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2014 Odile is currently showing the effects of about 15 kt of northeasterly vertical wind shear, with the low-level center partly exposed on the northeastern edge of the main area of convection. Satellite intensity estimates remain 45 kt from TAFB and 30 kt from SAB. Based on these data, the initial intensity remains a possibly conservative 35 kt. The initial motion is 320/5. The various large-scale models suggest that Odile will be caught in an area of weak steering currents for the next 2-3 days, with a slow and erratic motion expected during this time. After that, a mid-level ridge north of the cyclone should strengthen some and steer the cyclone toward the northwest at a faster forward speed. There are two notable changes to the guidance since the last advisory. First, most of the guidance suggests a westward or southwestward motion during the first 36 hours or so. Second, the overall guidance envelope has shifted to the left. This includes the latest ECMWF model, which forecasts a track farther from the coast of Mexico than its previous run. The new forecast track is shifted to the left in response to these changes, although it lies to the right of the center of the guidance envelope. It should be noted that the GFDL and HWRF models are still to the right of the new forecast, showing a track close to mainland Mexico. Odile is expected to remain in an area of moderate shear for the next 24 hours or so, after which the large-scale models suggest the shear should diminish. This should allow at least steady strengthening until the cyclone reaches colder water near the end of the forecast period. An alternative forecast scenario, supported by the SHIPS and GFS models, is that Odile undergoes rapid intensification after 24-36 hours when the shear diminishes. The new intensity forecast shows an increased intensity after 36 hours in best general agreement with the intensity consensus. However, it is well below the SHIPS model, which forecasts Odile to be a major hurricane by 72 hours. A tropical storm watch could be needed for a portion of the coast of southwestern Mexico tonight. Regardless, locally heavy rains are possible across that area later this week. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/2100Z 15.3N 103.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 11/0600Z 15.5N 103.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 11/1800Z 15.7N 103.7W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 12/0600Z 15.8N 103.9W 65 KT 75 MPH 48H 12/1800Z 16.2N 104.3W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 13/1800Z 17.5N 105.5W 85 KT 100 MPH 96H 14/1800Z 20.5N 108.5W 90 KT 105 MPH 120H 15/1800Z 24.0N 112.0W 90 KT 105 MPH $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm ODILE Forecast Discussion Number 2
2014-09-10 16:36:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT WED SEP 10 2014 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 101435 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ODILE DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014 800 AM PDT WED SEP 10 2014 Deep convection has increased to the west of the center during the past few hours, and microwave images show increasing organization of the low-level center. Dvorak classifications were 3.0/45 kt from TAFB and 2.0/30 kt from SAB. Using a blend of these estimates yields an initial wind speed of 35 kt, making the cyclone Tropical Storm Odile. Odile has been moving slowly northwestward for the last several hours, and a continued northwestward or north-northwestward drift is forecast during the next day or two while the cyclone remains in weak steering currents. In 2 to 3 days, the cyclone is anticipated to feel more influence from mid-level ridging to its north and northeast, and that should cause Odile to move at a faster pace to the northwest. Although the models are in fair agreement on this overall scenario, the big question is how close to the southwestern coast of Mexico does the center of the storm get. The ECMWF and HWRF models are on the right side of the guidance and bring the center of Odile very near or over the coast of southwestern Mexico. Conversely, the GFS and GFS ensemble mean, which are on the left side of the guidance, keep the center of Odile well offshore. The NHC track forecast is again between these solutions and brings Odile just off of southwestern Mexico in 3 to 4 days, and near the southern Baja peninsula by the end of the forecast period. Steady strengthening is expected for at least the next few days while the storm remains in low to moderate shear, a highly moist environment, and over very warm 30 C water. The only limiting factor could be land interaction. The NHC intensity forecast shows a slightly faster rate of strengthening than the previous one, but is lower than the SHIPS guidance. A tropical storm watch could be needed for a portion of the coast of southwestern Mexico later today. Regardless, locally heavy rains are possible across that area later this week. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/1500Z 14.9N 102.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 11/0000Z 15.1N 103.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 11/1200Z 15.3N 103.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 12/0000Z 15.5N 103.2W 65 KT 75 MPH 48H 12/1200Z 15.9N 103.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 72H 13/1200Z 17.6N 104.6W 80 KT 90 MPH 96H 14/1200Z 20.9N 107.7W 85 KT 100 MPH 120H 15/1200Z 24.0N 111.0W 85 KT 100 MPH $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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