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Hurricane CRISTOBAL Forecast Discussion Number 22
2014-08-29 04:54:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST THU AUG 28 2014 000 WTNT44 KNHC 290253 TCDAT4 HURRICANE CRISTOBAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 1100 PM AST THU AUG 28 2014 Remarkably, Cristobal still has a well-organized appearance on satellite imagery with a central dense overcast and some banding features. The current intensity estimate is increased to 75 kt in agreement with Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB. The hurricane will soon encounter much cooler waters, which would cause significant weakening as a tropical cyclone. However, it is expected that the cyclone will be able to maintain at least some of its strength due to baroclinic forcing. Post-tropical Cristobal will likely remain a powerful, albeit extratropical, cyclone over the north Atlantic through Saturday. Beyond that time, the system is forecast to merge with another low near southern Greenland and lose its identity. The hurricane has continued to accelerate, and the motion is now near 065/40 kt as Cristobal moves within the mid-latitude westerlies. Dynamical track guidance indicates a slight turn toward the northeast as the tropical or post-tropical cyclone interacts with the low near southern Greenland in the next day or two. The official track forecast is close to a consensus of the GFS and ECMWF model solutions. The wind radii were adjusted based on data from a recent ASCAT overpass. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/0300Z 40.2N 56.6W 75 KT 85 MPH 12H 29/1200Z 43.1N 49.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 30/0000Z 47.5N 42.0W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 30/1200Z 51.5N 34.5W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 31/0000Z 56.5N 27.5W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 01/0000Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER CYCLONE $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm MARIE Forecast Discussion Number 29
2014-08-29 04:53:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2014 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 290253 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARIE DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 800 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2014 Marie has only been producing patchy shallow convection for the past 12 hours or so, and the daily real-time global SST analysis shows that the center is approaching water as cold as 21C. Since deep convection should not redevelop in this environment, Marie is expected to become post-tropical overnight--if it isn't already. In the meantime, maximum winds are assumed to still be around 35 kt based on an earlier ASCAT pass. The large circulation will take some time to spin down, and a gradually weakening remnant low is forecast through the 5-day period. The initial motion remains 310/14 kt, with Marie moving along the western edge of a low- to mid-level ridge located near the coast of California and the Baja California peninsula. Marie will slow down during the next day or so as it moves away from the ridge. Then, the low-level flow will steer the remnant low west-northwestward and eventually west-southwestward by the end of the period. The NHC track is very similar to the previous one and close to the TVCE model consensus. Large southerly swells affecting much of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula and the coast of southern California will gradually subside through Friday. These swells could still produce life-threatening surf and rip currents, as well as minor coastal flooding around the time of high tide. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/0300Z 27.0N 131.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 29/1200Z 28.2N 133.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 30/0000Z 29.4N 134.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 30/1200Z 30.3N 135.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 31/0000Z 30.8N 136.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 01/0000Z 30.8N 138.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 02/0000Z 30.5N 140.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 03/0000Z 30.0N 142.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Berg
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Flexsteel Industries Inc - 10-K - Management's Discussion and...
2014-08-29 00:17:41| Furniture - Topix.net
General The following analysis of the results of operations and financial condition of the Company should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
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Hurricane CRISTOBAL Forecast Discussion Number 20
2014-08-28 16:45:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST THU AUG 28 2014 000 WTNT44 KNHC 281445 TCDAT4 HURRICANE CRISTOBAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 1100 AM AST THU AUG 28 2014 The satellite presentation of Cristobal has become much more symmetric than at any earlier time during its life. The center is embedded within an area of deep convection and a warm spot has become evident in recent visible satellite images. T-numbers from both SAB and TAFB are 4.0 on the Dvorak Scale and the initial intensity is set at 65 kt. Some strengthening is expected today while the hurricane remains over warm water. The cyclone will begin to interact with a frontal zone tonight and should complete extratropical transition on Friday. The global models indicate that the extratropical low will remain a powerful cyclone over the north Atlantic during the next few days. The low is forecast to merge with another large extratropical cyclone over the north Atlantic in 3 to 4 days. Cristobal is moving northeastward at about 23 kt. The cyclone should continue to accelerate northeastward in the mid-latitude westerlies during the next day or so. The updated NHC track is close to the previous advisory and near the middle of the guidance envelope. The track, intensity and wind radii forecasts of the extratropical low have been coordinated with the Ocean Prediction Center. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 36.9N 65.9W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 29/0000Z 39.7N 59.9W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 29/1200Z 43.8N 51.2W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 30/0000Z 48.0N 43.5W 70 KT 80 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 30/1200Z 51.5N 36.5W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 31/1200Z 61.1N 25.0W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 01/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm MARIE Forecast Discussion Number 27
2014-08-28 16:42:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 281442 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARIE DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 800 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014 Marie has continued to produce a small area of convection south and east of the center for the past few hours, but the tops have been warming recently. The initial intensity is set at 40 kt, a bit above the latest satellite classifications. Deep convection should dissipate shortly now that Marie is moving over SSTs around 22C, and Marie should become post-tropical by tonight. Gradual weakening is expected during the forecast period, as it will take the large circulation some time to spin down even without convection. The NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous one. The initial motion estimate is 310/13. A general northwestward motion is expected for the next couple of days while the cyclone remains under the influence of a mid-level ridge centered near the coast of southern California. Marie is forecast to slow down considerably and turn westward and west-southwestward by the end of the period as it is steered by the low-level flow. The NHC track forecast is similar to the previous one after adjustment for the initial position and motion. Large southerly swells affecting much of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula and the coast of southern California will gradually subside through Friday. These swells could still produce life-threatening surf and rip currents, as well as minor coastal flooding around the time of high tide. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 25.4N 128.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 29/0000Z 26.7N 130.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 29/1200Z 28.2N 132.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 30/0000Z 29.4N 134.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 30/1200Z 30.3N 135.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 31/1200Z 30.8N 137.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 01/1200Z 30.7N 139.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 02/1200Z 30.0N 140.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Brennan
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