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Hurricane KARINA Public Advisory Number 43

2014-08-23 16:36:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT SAT AUG 23 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 231436 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE KARINA ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 800 AM PDT SAT AUG 23 2014 ...KARINA STILL A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.2N 134.1W ABOUT 1385 MI...2230 KM E OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 1615 MI...2600 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 134.1 WEST. KARINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. AN EAST- NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Hurricane KARINA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 43

2014-08-23 16:36:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 231436 PWSEP1 HURRICANE KARINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 43 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 1500 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 134.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Hurricane KARINA Forecast Advisory Number 43

2014-08-23 16:36:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 231436 TCMEP1 HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 1500 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 134.1W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 10SE 10SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 134.1W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 134.4W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.6N 133.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 10SE 10SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.2N 131.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 10NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.7N 129.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.0N 129.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.3N 129.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.8N 130.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N 131.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 134.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Summary for Hurricane KARINA (EP1/EP112014)

2014-08-23 16:36:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...KARINA STILL A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE... As of 8:00 AM PDT Sat Aug 23 the center of KARINA was located near 17.2, -134.1 with movement NE at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.

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