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Tropical Storm DALILA Forecast Advisory Number 8

2013-07-01 22:45:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 01 2013 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 012045 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM DALILA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042013 2100 UTC MON JUL 01 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.5W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.5W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 106.2W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.2N 107.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.4N 107.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 108.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.5N 109.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 18.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 18.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 106.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH/ZELINSKY

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Tropical Storm DALILA Graphics

2013-07-01 19:35:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 01 Jul 2013 17:35:36 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 01 Jul 2013 15:04:44 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm DALILA (EP4/EP042013)

2013-07-01 19:32:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...DALILA EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING AWAY FROM MEXICO SOON... As of 11:00 AM PDT Mon Jul 1 the center of DALILA was located near 17.9, -106.3 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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Tropical Storm DALILA Public Advisory Number 7A

2013-07-01 19:32:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1100 AM PDT MON JUL 01 2013 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 011732 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DALILA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042013 1100 AM PDT MON JUL 01 2013 ...DALILA EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING AWAY FROM MEXICO SOON... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.9N 106.3W ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LA FORTUNA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.3 WEST. DALILA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BEGIN MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT... AND DALILA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...GIVEN THE TRACK OF DELILA...THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ALONG THE COAST IS DECREASING. RAINFALL...DALILA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES...ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF MICHOACAN...COLIMA...AND JALISCO. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/ZELINSKY

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