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Summary for Tropical Storm Kiko (EP3/EP132019)
2019-09-22 22:34:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KIKO REFUSES TO GO AWAY... As of 11:00 AM HST Sun Sep 22 the center of Kiko was located near 16.1, -133.9 with movement WSW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Kiko Public Advisory Number 42
2019-09-22 22:34:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 AM HST Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 222034 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kiko Advisory Number 42 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 1100 AM HST Sun Sep 22 2019 ...KIKO REFUSES TO GO AWAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.1N 133.9W ABOUT 1630 MI...2620 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kiko was located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 133.9 West. Kiko is moving toward the west-southwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A swinging motion between the west-southwest and the west-northwest is forecast to continue through the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some small fluctuations in strength are expected during the next 2 to 3 days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Tropical Storm Kiko Forecast Advisory Number 42
2019-09-22 22:34:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 222034 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 2100 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 133.9W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 133.9W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 133.6W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.7N 134.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.0N 136.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 10SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.2N 137.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.5N 138.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.0N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.5N 141.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 17.5N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 133.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Storm Kiko Graphics
2019-09-22 16:54:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 14:54:03 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 22 Sep 2019 14:54:04 GMT
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Tropical Storm Kiko Forecast Discussion Number 41
2019-09-22 16:52:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 AM HST Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 221452 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Kiko Discussion Number 41 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 500 AM HST Sun Sep 22 2019 A small area of deep convection has continued to pulsate near the center of Kiko overnight and this morning. The most recent satellite intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB still support winds of 35 kt, and this is used for the advisory intensity. Kiko has a small window of opportunity in which to re-strengthen as it moves over warmer waters and into an environment of lower wind shear within the next 24-36 h. After that time, increasing southwesterly shear and decreasing SSTs should cause weakening and Kiko is again forecast to become a remnant low by 96 hours. Kiko is moving southwestward at 7 kt. There has been no change to the track forecast reasoning for this advisory. Kiko should continue southwestward today, before turning westward, and then northwestward Monday and Tuesday as a mid-latitude trough cuts off to the northwest of the cyclone. After Kiko weakens to a remnant low, it should turn southwestward once again as it is steered by the low-level flow. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/1500Z 16.5N 133.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 23/0000Z 15.9N 134.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 23/1200Z 15.8N 135.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 24/0000Z 16.6N 136.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 24/1200Z 17.9N 137.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 25/1200Z 19.4N 139.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 96H 26/1200Z 18.7N 140.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 27/1200Z 17.5N 141.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Brown
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