je.st
news
Tag: kiko
Summary for Tropical Storm Kiko (EP3/EP132019)
2019-09-22 16:52:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TENACIOUS KIKO HANGING ON AS A TROPICAL STORM... As of 5:00 AM HST Sun Sep 22 the center of Kiko was located near 16.5, -133.5 with movement SW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
kiko
Tropical Storm Kiko Public Advisory Number 41
2019-09-22 16:52:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 AM HST Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 221452 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kiko Advisory Number 41 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 500 AM HST Sun Sep 22 2019 ...TENACIOUS KIKO HANGING ON AS A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 133.5W ABOUT 1595 MI...2565 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kiko was located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 133.5 West. Kiko is moving toward the southwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A motion toward the southwest or west-southwest is forecast to continue through tonight, followed by a westward to northwestward motion Monday and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some re-strengthening could begin late today or tonight, but it is forecast to be short-lived with weakening anticipated by Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm Kiko Wind Speed Probabilities Number 41
2019-09-22 16:52:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 221452 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 135W 34 3 11(14) 4(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 15N 135W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 2( 6) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 13(16) 5(21) 2(23) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tropical Storm Kiko Forecast Advisory Number 41
2019-09-22 16:51:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 221451 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 133.5W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 30SE 75SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 133.5W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 133.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.9N 134.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.8N 135.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 10SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.6N 136.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.9N 137.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.4N 139.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.7N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 17.5N 141.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 133.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm Kiko Forecast Discussion Number 40
2019-09-22 10:58:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 PM HST Sat Sep 21 2019 509 WTPZ43 KNHC 220858 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Kiko Discussion Number 40 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 1100 PM HST Sat Sep 21 2019 A small but growing burst of deep convection has resumed near the center of Kiko, but the cyclone is considerably weaker than earlier today. ASCAT data indicated maximum winds of 30-35 kt, and 35 kt will be the initial intensity. Within about 24 hours, Kiko has a chance to re-strengthen as it moves over warmer waters in a lighter shear region. Model agreement is in fairly good agreement on tenacious Kiko intensifying once again. However, Kiko should resume weakening again in about 3 days due to a significant increase in shear and cooler waters, and hopefully the next 48 hours are the last hurrah of Kiko. Kiko is moving southwestward tonight at about 7 kt. The storm should continue to lose latitude for about the next 24 hours due to the orientation of a ridge to the northwest. After that time, the western portion of an incoming mid-latitude trough is forecast to cut off east of the Hawaiian Islands, causing Kiko to turn sharply northwestward on days 2-4. Once a remnant low, Kiko is then expected to be steered by lower-level flow, causing it to turn back to the southwest. No significant changes were made to the sinuous forecast track and, if Kiko survives as long as predicted below, it would end up one of the 10 longest-lasting tropical cyclones in eastern Pacific history. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0900Z 17.0N 132.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 22/1800Z 16.3N 133.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 23/0600Z 15.7N 135.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 23/1800Z 16.0N 136.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 24/0600Z 17.3N 137.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 25/0600Z 19.5N 139.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 96H 26/0600Z 19.0N 140.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 27/0600Z 18.0N 140.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Sites : [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] next »