je.st
news
Tag: kiko
Tropical Storm KIKO Forecast Advisory Number 9
2013-09-02 04:35:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 02 2013 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 020235 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112013 0300 UTC MON SEP 02 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 116.1W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 116.1W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 116.0W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 23.1N 116.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 23.5N 116.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 23.9N 116.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 24.1N 116.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.2N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 116.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm KIKO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2013-09-02 04:35:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 02 2013 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 020235 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112013 0300 UTC MON SEP 02 2013 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 1 10 21 32 36 NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 13 49 49 45 45 NA NA TROPICAL STORM 86 40 29 22 19 NA NA HURRICANE X 1 1 1 1 NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 X 1 1 1 1 NA NA HUR CAT 2 X X X X X NA NA HUR CAT 3 X X X X X NA NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X X NA NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X X NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40KT 30KT 25KT 20KT 20KT NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tropical Storm KIKO Graphics
2013-09-01 23:08:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 01 Sep 2013 20:35:50 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 01 Sep 2013 21:04:43 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
kiko
Tropical Storm KIKO Forecast Discussion Number 8
2013-09-01 22:35:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT SUN SEP 01 2013 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 012034 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM KIKO DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112013 200 PM PDT SUN SEP 01 2013 SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...THE SATELLITE APPEARANCE OF KIKO HAS DEGRADED SIGNIFICANTLY. DEEP CONVECTION...WHAT LITTLE THERE IS THAT REMAINS...IS LIMITED TO THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEVERTHELESS... KIKO REMAINS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL STORM BASED ON A 47-KT SCATTEROMETER WIND REPORT FROM A 1653 UTC ASCAT OVERPASS. AS A RESULT OF THE SCATTEROMETER DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ONLY BEING DECREASED TO 50 KT ON THIS ADVISORY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 350/05 KT. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK OR REASONING. KIKO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND GRADUALLY SLOW AND TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. AS KIKO WEAKENS AND BECOMES A SHALLOW CIRCULATION...THE CYCLONE COULD BECOME STATIONARY AS A REMNANT LOW ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE NHC FORECAST TRACK IS JUST AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK...AND REMAINS CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS MODEL TVCE. KIKO IS BEGINNING TO MOVE ACROSS A TIGHT SST GRADIENT AND WILL BE MOVING OVER SUB-26C OCEAN TEMPERATURES SHORTLY. IN ADDITION... SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CYCLONE HAS STARTED TO INGEST COOLER AND MORE STABLE AIR LOCATED TO ITS NORTH AND NORTHWEST. THE COMBINATION OF THESE TWO UNFAVORABLE PARAMETERS IS EXPECTED TO HASTEN THE WEAKENING OF KIKO OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND RESULT IN A NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW BY 48 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY... AND FOLLOWS THE TREND OF THE SHIPS AND LGEM INTENSITY MODELS... WHICH ARE FORECASTING DISSIPATION OF THE SYSTEM IN 48 AND 96 HOURS...RESPECTIVELY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/2100Z 21.8N 115.7W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 02/0600Z 22.5N 115.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 02/1800Z 23.1N 116.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 03/0600Z 23.5N 116.2W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 03/1800Z 23.7N 116.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 04/1800Z 24.0N 116.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm KIKO (EP1/EP112013)
2013-09-01 22:34:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KIKO WEAKENS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sun Sep 1 the center of KIKO was located near 21.8, -115.7 with movement N at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
kiko
Sites : [54] [55] [56] [57] [58] [59] [60] [61] [62] [63] [64] [65] [66] [67] [68] [69] [70] next »