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Tropical Storm Kiko Forecast Advisory Number 6
2019-09-13 22:42:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 13 2019 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 132042 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 2100 UTC FRI SEP 13 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 115.2W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 115.2W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 114.8W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.2N 116.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.5N 118.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.9N 119.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.4N 121.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.4N 123.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 20.1N 126.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 20.9N 128.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 115.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Tropical Storm Kiko Graphics
2019-09-13 16:58:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 13 Sep 2019 14:58:42 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 13 Sep 2019 15:31:21 GMT
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Tropical Storm Kiko Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2019-09-13 16:57:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 13 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 131457 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1500 UTC FRI SEP 13 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 15 4(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) 15N 115W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 115W 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 120W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) 20N 120W 34 X 3( 3) 18(21) 25(46) 7(53) X(53) X(53) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 18(44) 2(46) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 1(14) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) $$ FORECASTER BANN/JACKSON/OTTO/BLAKE
Summary for Tropical Storm Kiko (EP3/EP132019)
2019-09-13 16:57:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KIKO FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN THIS WEEKEND... As of 9:00 AM MDT Fri Sep 13 the center of Kiko was located near 16.9, -114.4 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Kiko Public Advisory Number 5
2019-09-13 16:57:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Fri Sep 13 2019 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 131457 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kiko Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 900 AM MDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...KIKO FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN THIS WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 114.4W ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kiko was located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 114.4 West. Kiko is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Kiko is expected to approach hurricane strength later this weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Bann/Jackson/Otto/Blake
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