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Summary for Tropical Storm ERICK (EP5/EP052013)
2013-07-05 10:32:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...CENTER OF ERICK PASSING SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO... As of 2:00 AM PDT Fri Jul 5 the center of ERICK was located near 15.2, -101.2 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm ERICK Forecast Advisory Number 4
2013-07-05 10:32:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI JUL 05 2013 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 050832 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 0900 UTC FRI JUL 05 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS * WEST OF MANZANILLO TO LA FORTUNA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 101.2W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 101.2W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 100.8W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.9N 102.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.8N 103.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.6N 105.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.6N 106.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 21.5N 114.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 22.0N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 101.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm ERICK Public Advisory Number 4
2013-07-05 10:32:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT FRI JUL 05 2013 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 050832 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERICK ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 200 AM PDT FRI JUL 05 2013 ...CENTER OF ERICK PASSING SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 101.2W ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM SSE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS * WEST OF MANZANILLO TO LA FORTUNA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.2 WEST. ERICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERICK SHOULD MOVE PARALLEL TO...BUT REMAIN OFFSHORE OF...THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ERICK COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ERICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER SOUTHWESTERN OAXACA...SOUTHERN GUERRERO... SOUTHERN MICHOACA...COLIMA...AND SOUTHERN JALISCO MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA FROM ACAPULCO TO LAZARO CARDENAS TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO SPREAD WESTWARD INTO THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF MANZANILLO BY LATE SATURDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm ERICK Graphics
2013-07-05 08:02:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 05 Jul 2013 06:02:30 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 05 Jul 2013 03:04:22 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm ERICK (EP5/EP052013)
2013-07-05 07:48:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...RAINBANDS OF ERICK BRUSHING THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO... As of 11:00 PM PDT Thu Jul 4 the center of ERICK was located near 14.9, -100.7 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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