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Netflix hangs up on earnings call in favor of video discussion

2013-07-09 02:51:07| CNET News.com

Instead of the traditional conference call with analysts, the video streaming company will broadcast a video discussion based on questions submitted via e-mail and Twitter. [Read more]    

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Tropical Storm CHANTAL Forecast Discussion Number 4

2013-07-08 22:41:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST MON JUL 08 2013 000 WTNT43 KNHC 082041 TCDAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 500 PM AST MON JUL 08 2013 LITTLE CHANGE IN THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION OF CHANTAL HAS OCCURRED TODAY...SO THE INTENSITY IS BEING MAINTAINED AT 40 KT. HOWEVER...AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS ENROUTE TO THE CYCLONE AND IT WILL PROVIDE A BETTER ESTIMATE OF THE INTENSITY SHORTLY. VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUE TO INDICATE AN INCREASE IN THE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW PATTERN. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 290/23 KT. CHANTAL IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SOUTH OF A STRONG DEEP-LAYER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FOR THE NEXT 2 DAYS...SO A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THAT TIME. BY DAYS 3-5...A LARGE MID-/UPPER-LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE BAHAMAS IS FORECAST BY THE GLOBAL MODELS TO MOVE ACROSS FLORIDA AND PHASE UP WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH...WHICH SHOULD CREATE A BREAK IN THE RIDGE AXIS AND PRODUCE A WEAKER STEERING PATTERN OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND THE BAHAMAS. AS A RESULT...CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN NORTHWESTWARD BY 72 HOURS AS IT APPROACHES THE WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE...AND THEN MOVE SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWARD ON DAYS 4 AND 5 AS THE STEERING FLOW COLLAPSES. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK...BUT NOT NEARLY AS FAR RIGHT AS THE MODEL CONSENSUS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS AROUND AND AHEAD OF CHANTAL FAVOR AT LEAST MODEST STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS OR SO WHILE THE CYCLONE REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING...AND CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE IT REACHES HISPANIOLA. AFTER CHANTAL MOVES PAST HISPANIOLA ON DAY 2/3...THE CYCLONE SHOULD BE AFFECTED BY MODERATE TO STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS FLORIDA... WHICH IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER ENHANCE THE WEAKENING PROCESS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND ESSENTIALLY FOLLOWS THE ICON CONSENSUS MODEL. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/2100Z 11.8N 53.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 09/0600Z 13.0N 57.3W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 09/1800Z 14.6N 61.7W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 10/0600Z 16.2N 66.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 10/1800Z 17.8N 69.6W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 11/1800Z 21.0N 74.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 96H 12/1800Z 24.3N 76.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 120H 13/1800Z 26.7N 78.0W 30 KT 35 MPH $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm ERICK Forecast Discussion Number 18

2013-07-08 22:36:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT MON JUL 08 2013 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 082036 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ERICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 200 PM PDT MON JUL 08 2013 ERICK HAS TAKEN ON A SHEARED APPEARANCE...AND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BECOME EXPOSED DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM ALL AGENCIES HAVE NOT CHANGED...AND A 1730Z ASCAT PASS ALSO SUPPORTS HOLDING THE INITIAL INTENSITY AT 40 KT. THE APPARENT DECOUPLING OF THE LOW- AND MID-LEVEL CENTERS IS LIKELY THE RESULT OF SUB-24C SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BENEATH ERICK...AND MID-LEVEL DRY AIR BEING WRAPPED INTO ITS CIRCULATION. THE HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT SHOULD LEAD TO FURTHER WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND ERICK IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. ERICK HAS PROBABLY MADE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA COAST AND THE ESTIMATED MOTION IS 310/9. A RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD STEER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THIS GENERAL HEADING FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTER THAT... LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW SHOULD CAUSE THE REMNANT LOW TO MAKE A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST. THE NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST REMAINS NEAR THE SOUTHERN END OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...AND HAS NOT CHANGED SUBSTANTIALLY FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/2100Z 22.6N 110.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 09/0600Z 23.6N 112.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 09/1800Z 24.7N 113.7W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 10/0600Z 25.4N 115.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 10/1800Z 25.7N 116.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ZELINSKY

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Tropical Storm CHANTAL Forecast Discussion Number 3

2013-07-08 17:01:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST MON JUL 08 2013 000 WTNT43 KNHC 081501 TCDAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 1100 AM AST MON JUL 08 2013 CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION OF HAS IMPROVED SLIGHTLY IN SATELLITE IMAGERY SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY WITH FRAGMENTED CURVED BANDS DEVELOPING IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...ALTHOUGH THE CORE CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED SOME. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KT IS BASED ON A BLEND OF TAFB...SAB...ADT...AND AMSU SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALSO INDICATE THAT CHANTAL HAS DEVELOPED SOME WEAK ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS A RATHER BRISK 280/23 KT. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. CHANTAL IS FORECAST TO MOVE QUICKLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF A STRONG DEEP-LAYER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BY DAY 3 AND BEYOND...A VIGOROUS MID-/UPPER-LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY JUST EAST OF THE BAHAMAS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD AND MERGE WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH...CREATING A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND THE BAHAMAS. CHANTAL IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN NORTHWESTWARD BY 72 HOURS AS IT APPROACHES THIS DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE...AND THEN MOVE SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE WEAKNESS ON DAYS 4 AND 5. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS AND LIES ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...CLOSE TO THE GFS AND FSSE MODELS. OTHER THAN THE FAST FORWARD SPEED OF CHANTAL...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAIRLY FAVORABLE FOR AT LEAST SOME MODEST STRENGTHENING TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS OR SO WHILE THE CYCLONE REMAINS UNDERNEATH A 200 MB RIDGE AXIS. INTERACTION WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA IN ABOUT THREE DAYS...COUPLED WITH INCREASING WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...IS EXPECTED TO CAUSED TO CHANTAL TO WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY BY DAY 3...AND CONTINUE INTO DAYS 4 AND 5 AS THE CYCLONE MOVES UNDERNEATH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST FOLLOWS THE ICON INTENSITY CONSENSUS MODEL AND THE FSSE MODEL. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/1500Z 10.9N 51.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 09/0000Z 12.0N 55.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 09/1200Z 13.6N 59.6W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 10/0000Z 15.2N 64.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 10/1200Z 16.8N 68.2W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 11/1200Z 19.8N 74.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 96H 12/1200Z 23.3N 76.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 120H 13/1200Z 26.0N 78.1W 30 KT 35 MPH $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm ERICK Forecast Discussion Number 17

2013-07-08 16:43:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT MON JUL 08 2013 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 081443 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ERICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 800 AM PDT MON JUL 08 2013 INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE GENERAL STRUCTURE OF ERICK HAS NOT CHANGED SUBSTANTIALLY DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS...HOWEVER THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED A LITTLE. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE DECREASED...AND AN 0502 ASCAT PASS INDICATED THAT WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE PROBABLY NO GREATER THAN 40 KT. BASED ON ALL OF THESE ESTIMATES...THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN DECREASED TO 40 KT. ERICK IS TRAVERSING OVER A SHARP GRADIENT IN SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE...AND THE WATER TEMPERATURE CURRENTLY BENEATH THE CYCLONE IS LESS THAN 25C. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE TROPICAL STORM MOVES OVER EVEN COLDER WATERS...AND INTO A DRIER AND MORE STABLE ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT. THE NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST STILL INDICATES THAT ERICK WILL BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY 36 HOURS. FIRST-LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGERY AND THE 0502 ASCAT PASS SHOW THAT THE CENTER OF ERICK IS SLIGHTLY FARTHER NORTH THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED...HOWEVER THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING IS BASICALLY UNCHANGED. ERICK IS STILL EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AROUND A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE...LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER THAT...THE REMNANTS WILL BE STEERED PRIMARILY BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. BASED ON THE NEW INITIAL POSITION...THE NHC FORECAST HAS BEEN SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE NORTH...BUT IS OTHERWISE JUST AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/1500Z 22.2N 110.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 09/0000Z 23.2N 111.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 09/1200Z 24.3N 113.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 10/0000Z 25.1N 114.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 10/1200Z 25.6N 116.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 11/1200Z 26.0N 118.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ZELINSKY

Tags: number discussion storm tropical

 

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