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Republic Services, Inc. - 10-Q - Management's Discussion and Analysis ...
2013-07-26 16:02:37| Waste Management - Topix.net
You should read the following discussion in conjunction with the unaudited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included under Item 1. In addition, you should refer to our audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto and related Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations ... (more)
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Tropical Storm FLOSSIE Forecast Discussion Number 6
2013-07-26 10:34:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT FRI JUL 26 2013 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 260833 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062013 200 AM PDT FRI JUL 26 2013 DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH FLOSSIE HAS CONSOLIDATED SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY. THE MOST PROMINENT AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR AND JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE ESTIMATED CENTER. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS AT 0600 UTC HAVE INCREASED TO 3.0/45 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND SATCON ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS ARE ABOUT THE SAME. A RECENT ASCAT PASS ALSO SHOWED MAXIMUM WINDS IN THE 40 TO 45 KT RANGE. BASED ON THESE DATA...THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS NUDGED UPWARD TO 45 KT. FLOSSIE HAS ABOUT ANOTHER DAY OVER RELATIVELY WARM WATER...SO SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE SHORT TERM. AFTER THAT TIME...HOWEVER...A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED DUE TO COOLER WATER...DRIER AIR...AND SOME INCREASE IN WESTERLY SHEAR. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST IS A LITTLE HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE INTENSITY MODEL CONSENSUS. FLOSSIE IS ON A WESTWARD COURSE WITH THE LATEST INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE BEING 275/16. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE FLOSSIE REMAINS TO THE SOUTH OF A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE. SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST BY THE TIME FLOSSIE NEARS THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS THE WEAKENING CYCLONE WILL LIKELY BECOME MORE INFLUENCED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE MODEL GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED NORTHWARD THIS CYCLE...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN NUDGED IN THAT DIRECTION. THE LATEST NHC TRACK FORECAST LIES ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0900Z 15.4N 130.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 26/1800Z 15.8N 133.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 27/0600Z 16.5N 136.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 27/1800Z 17.2N 139.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 28/0600Z 17.9N 143.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 29/0600Z 18.6N 149.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 30/0600Z 19.0N 154.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 120H 31/0600Z 19.5N 159.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Storm DORIAN Forecast Discussion Number 9
2013-07-26 10:32:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST FRI JUL 26 2013 000 WTNT44 KNHC 260831 TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 500 AM AST FRI JUL 26 2013 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DORIAN HAS LOST ORGANIZATION SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY...POSSIBLY DUE TO A COMBINATION OF SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MID/UPPER-LEVEL DRY AIR SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS PARTLY EXPOSED TO THE WEST OF THE CONVECTION...AND THE CONVECTIVE AREA HAS BECOME ELONGATED FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 45 KT BASED ON A DVORAK ESTIMATE FROM TAFB AND A RECENT AMSU ESTIMATE FROM CIMSS. DORIAN IS BEING DRIVEN QUICKLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BY A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...AND THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 285/17. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SYNOPTIC REASONING OR THE TRACK FORECAST FROM THE LAST ADVISORY. THE DYNAMICAL MODELS FORECAST THE RIDGE TO BUILD WESTWARD NORTH OF DORIAN...WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE CYCLONE ON A GENERAL WESTWARD PATH DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFS...NAVGEM...AND HWRF ARE THE SOUTHERNMOST OF THE MODELS...FORECASTING THE STORM TO PASS NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA IN 4-5 DAYS. THE ECMWF...UKMET...AND CANADIAN MODELS ARE THE NORTHERNMOST...FORECASTING A POSITION NEAR THE BAHAMAS IN 5 DAYS. THE NEW TRACK FORECAST LIES BETWEEN THESE SCENARIOS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. DORIAN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EXPERIENCING MODERATE SHEAR AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT FOR THE NEXT 2-4 DAYS. THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME WEAKENING DURING THIS TIME...AND THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST FOLLOWS THAT SCENARIO IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE INTENSITY CONSENSUS. AFTER THAT...THE DYNAMICAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT DORIAN SHOULD INTERACT WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH NEAR THE BAHAMAS. WHILE THE GFS SHOWS CONTINUING SHEAR DURING THIS INTERACTION...THE ECMWF AND UKMET SHOW A LESS HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT. BASED ON THE PREMISE THAT THE SHEAR COULD BE LESS THAN FORECAST BY THE GFS AND THE SHIPS MODEL...THE FORECAST SHOWS SLIGHT RE-INTENSIFICATION AT 96 HOURS. AN ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO IS THAT DORIAN COULD DISSIPATE...EITHER FROM LANDFALL ON HISPANIOLA OR FROM DEGENERATING TO A TROPICAL WAVE DUE TO THE CURRENT HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0900Z 17.1N 41.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 26/1800Z 17.6N 44.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 27/0600Z 18.3N 48.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 27/1800Z 18.9N 52.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 28/0600Z 19.5N 56.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 29/0600Z 20.0N 63.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 30/0600Z 20.5N 68.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 120H 31/0600Z 21.5N 73.0W 45 KT 50 MPH $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm DORIAN Forecast Discussion Number 8
2013-07-26 04:41:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST THU JUL 25 2013 000 WTNT44 KNHC 260241 TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 1100 PM AST THU JUL 25 2013 THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE OF DORIAN HAS NOT BEEN PARTICULARLY ORGANIZED THIS EVENING...AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER LIES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. A 2340 UTC ASCAT-B OVERPASS INDICATES THAT DORIAN HAS WEAKENED A BIT...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS NOW 45 KT. DORIAN IS BEING DRIVEN QUICKLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BY A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...AND ITS ESTIMATED MOTION IS 285/17 KT. THE ANTICYCLONE IS FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD IN TANDEM WITH DORIAN THROUGH DAY 3...BUT THE GLOBAL MODELS THEN SUGGEST THAT THIS FEATURE WILL EVOLVE INTO A NORTHEAST-TO-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED RIDGE AXIS THAT EXTENDS ACROSS FLORIDA BY DAYS 4 AND 5. BECAUSE OF THIS PATTERN EVOLUTION...THE TRACK GUIDANCE ENVELOPE HAS SHIFTED A LITTLE SOUTHWARD ON THIS CYCLE. THE 18Z RUN OF THE GFS IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE 12Z RUN AND IS THE SOUTHERNMOST AND SLOWEST TRACK MODEL WHILE THE ECMWF IS THE NORTHERNMOST AND FASTEST. THE NHC TRACK FORECAST HAS BEEN NUDGED A BIT SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TO FOLLOW THE OVERALL TREND IN THE GUIDANCE...BUT IT ENDS UP CLOSE TO THE ECMWF TRACK ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE ENVELOPE. DORIAN IS EMBEDDED IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF FAST EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND RELATIVELY LIGHT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...WHICH APPEARS TO BE INDUCING SOME WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR IN THE LAYER BELOW THE CIRRUS OUTFLOW. SINCE THE FORWARD SPEED OF THE CYCLONE IS NOT EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN ANY TIME SOON...DORIAN COULD EXPERIENCE PERSISTENT SHEAR FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ON TOP OF THAT...MID-LEVEL RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE...AND THE DRY AIR COULD INHIBIT DEEP CONVECTION. NONE OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS MUCH CHANGE IN INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...SO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL KEEP THE WINDS FLATLINED AT 45 KT THROUGH DAY 3 WITH NOT MUCH STRENGTHENING THEREAFTER. THIS FORECAST IS A BIT LOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE...PARTIALLY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE LOWER INITIAL INTENSITY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0300Z 16.6N 39.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 26/1200Z 17.2N 42.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 27/0000Z 17.8N 46.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 27/1200Z 18.3N 50.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 28/0000Z 19.0N 54.3W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 29/0000Z 20.0N 61.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 96H 30/0000Z 20.5N 67.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 120H 31/0000Z 21.0N 72.0W 50 KT 60 MPH $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Storm FLOSSIE Forecast Discussion Number 5
2013-07-26 04:32:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT THU JUL 25 2013 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 260232 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062013 800 PM PDT THU JUL 25 2013 FLOSSIE HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN STRUCTURE DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION IS ORGANIZED IN CURVED BANDS OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE CIRCULATION AND IN A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST. THE DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS AT 00 UTC WERE UNCHANGED FROM EARLIER...AND A BLEND OF THE ESTIMATES FROM TAFB...SAB...AND UW-CIMSS ADT STILL SUPPORTS AN INITIAL WIND SPEED OF 40 KT. THE TROPICAL STORM COULD STRENGTHEN A LITTLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT REMAINS OVER RELATIVELY WARM WATER AND IN FAVORABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS. AFTER THAT TIME...HOWEVER...A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED WHILE FLOSSIE MOVES OVER WATERS THAT ARE COOLER THAN 26C AND INTO A LESS FAVORABLE AIRMASS. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IS MORE OR LESS IN LINE WITH THE LATEST GUIDANCE. THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN ON A DUE WEST PATH TODAY...AND THE LATEST INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/15. A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION AT ABOUT THE SAME SPEED IS FORECAST THROUGHOUT THE 5-DAY PERIOD AS FLOSSIE REMAINS TO THE SOUTH OF A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE. THE NHC TRACK FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE AND LIES A LITTLE TO THE SOUTH OF THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0300Z 15.1N 129.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 26/1200Z 15.4N 131.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 27/0000Z 16.0N 134.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 27/1200Z 16.5N 138.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 28/0000Z 17.1N 141.6W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 29/0000Z 18.0N 147.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 96H 30/0000Z 18.5N 153.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 120H 31/0000Z 19.0N 159.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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