je.st

Home › sergio

Tag: sergio

Summary for Hurricane Sergio (EP1/EP212018)

2018-10-06 10:45:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...SERGIO SIDEWINDING OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC... As of 2:00 AM PDT Sat Oct 6 the center of Sergio was located near 14.9, -123.5 with movement SW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 951 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 125 mph.

Tags: summary sergio hurricane

Hurricane Sergio Public Advisory Number 28

2018-10-06 10:45:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM PDT Sat Oct 06 2018 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 060845 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 200 AM PDT Sat Oct 06 2018 ...SERGIO SIDEWINDING OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.9N 123.5W ABOUT 1045 MI...1680 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 123.5 West. Sergio is moving toward the southwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). The hurricane is forecast to slow down and make a sharp northeastward turn over the weekend into early next week. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Slow weakening is forecast during the next several days, but Sergio is expected to remain a hurricane through the first half of next week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 951 mb (28.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: number public advisory sergio

Hurricane Sergio Wind Speed Probabilities Number 28

2018-10-06 10:45:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 060845 PWSEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 0900 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15N 120W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 32(43) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 25N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10N 125W 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 125W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 125W 50 65 23(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 15N 125W 64 13 36(49) X(49) X(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 10(13) 25(38) 2(40) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) 15N 130W 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 7(15) 8(23) 1(24) X(24) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BERG

Tags: number speed wind sergio

Hurricane Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 28

2018-10-06 10:44:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 060844 TCMEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 0900 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 123.5W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 951 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT.......150NE 110SE 110SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..450NE 330SE 300SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 123.5W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 123.2W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.6N 124.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 110SE 110SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.4N 125.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 14.7N 126.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.2N 127.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.9N 126.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 23.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 123.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

Tags: number advisory forecast sergio