je.st
news
Tag: sergio
Summary for Hurricane Sergio (EP1/EP212018)
2018-10-05 04:31:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...SERGIO MOVING NORTHWESTWARD WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING... As of 8:00 PM PDT Thu Oct 4 the center of Sergio was located near 15.9, -120.5 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 951 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 125 mph.
Tags: summary
sergio
hurricane
Hurricane Sergio Public Advisory Number 23
2018-10-05 04:31:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Thu Oct 04 2018 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 050231 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 PM PDT Thu Oct 04 2018 ...SERGIO MOVING NORTHWESTWARD WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 120.5W ABOUT 840 MI...1355 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 120.5 West. Sergio is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the west- northwest is forecast tonight, followed by a westward to west- southwestward motion on Friday and Saturday. A turn back toward the west-northwest is forecast on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Weakening is forecast through the weekend, but Sergio is expected to remain a hurricane through Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 951 mb (28.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: number
public
advisory
sergio
Hurricane Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 23
2018-10-05 04:31:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 05 2018 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 050231 TCMEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 0300 UTC FRI OCT 05 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 120.5W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 951 MB EYE DIAMETER 35 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 130SE 130SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..450NE 360SE 300SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 120.5W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 120.2W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.0N 121.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.9N 122.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 65NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.6N 123.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.5N 125.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.0N 127.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 120SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 17.5N 127.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 19.5N 124.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 120.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Tags: number
advisory
forecast
sergio
Hurricane Sergio Graphics
2018-10-04 22:35:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 04 Oct 2018 20:35:09 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 04 Oct 2018 21:34:26 GMT
Tags: graphics
sergio
hurricane
hurricane graphics
Hurricane Sergio Forecast Discussion Number 22
2018-10-04 22:33:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Thu Oct 04 2018 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 042033 TCDEP1 Hurricane Sergio Discussion Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 200 PM PDT Thu Oct 04 2018 Sergio remains an impressive hurricane. Although the cloud pattern is still symmetric and well organized, the eye has become ragged and cloud filled at times. The current satellite intensity estimates range from 102 to 127 kt, and the initial intensity is set to 115 kt based on a blend of these data. The environmental conditions along Sergio's future path are expected to gradually become less favorable during the next several days, with decreasing mid-level humidities, cooler SSTs, and a slight increase in wind shear. In response, all of the models show a gradual weakening trend through the period, and the NHC forecast does as well. This forecast lies near the intensity consensus aids and is largely an update of the previous one. The hurricane is still moving to the northwest at 8 kt. A gradual turn to the left, or west, is expected during the next couple of days as a mid-level ridge builds to the north-northwest of Sergio. Late this weekend, a decrease in forward speed is expected as the ridge retreats in response to a large trough over the southwestern United States. This change in the steering pattern should cause the cyclone to turn northeastward by the end of the forecast period. The only notable change in the track forecast is a sharper northward and northeastward turn at days 4 and 5, to come in better agreement with the latest consensus aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/2100Z 15.5N 119.9W 115 KT 130 MPH 12H 05/0600Z 15.9N 120.8W 110 KT 125 MPH 24H 05/1800Z 16.1N 121.9W 105 KT 120 MPH 36H 06/0600Z 15.9N 123.2W 95 KT 110 MPH 48H 06/1800Z 15.7N 124.5W 85 KT 100 MPH 72H 07/1800Z 15.7N 126.6W 80 KT 90 MPH 96H 08/1800Z 16.8N 127.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 120H 09/1800Z 18.3N 126.2W 60 KT 70 MPH $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
discussion
forecast
sergio
Sites : [35] [36] [37] [38] [39] [40] [41] [42] [43] [44] [45] [46] [47] [48] [49] [50] [51] [52] [53] [54] next »