Home › julio
 

Keywords :   


Tag: julio

Tropical Storm JULIO Public Advisory Number 6

2014-08-05 10:42:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM PDT TUE AUG 05 2014 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 050842 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JULIO ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102014 200 AM PDT TUE AUG 05 2014 ...JULIO MOVING WESTWARD...NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.6N 123.7W ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.7 WEST. JULIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND JULIO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

Tags: number public storm julio

 

Tropical Storm JULIO Graphics

2014-08-05 10:36:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 05 Aug 2014 08:36:29 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 05 Aug 2014 08:35:45 GMT

Tags: graphics storm julio tropical

 
 

Tropical Storm JULIO Forecast Advisory Number 6

2014-08-05 10:35:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 050834 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102014 0900 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 123.7W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 20NE 30SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 123.7W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 123.0W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.9N 125.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.6N 128.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.1N 131.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.7N 134.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.4N 140.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 17.0N 146.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N 152.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 123.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

Tags: number storm julio advisory

 

Tropical Storm JULIO Graphics

2014-08-05 05:25:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 05 Aug 2014 02:41:17 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 05 Aug 2014 03:09:59 GMT

Tags: graphics storm julio tropical

 

Tropical Storm JULIO Forecast Discussion Number 5

2014-08-05 04:39:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 PM PDT MON AUG 04 2014 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 050239 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM JULIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102014 800 PM PDT MON AUG 04 2014 Conventional satellite imagery and an earlier GCOM AMSR2 microwave overpass show that Julio's cloud pattern continues to gradually improve. Cold tops of -80 C are now evident in association with the developing banding feature south of the center. The AMSR2 pass as well as visible imagery also indicated that deep convection is now wrapping around the northeast portion of the cyclone despite the relatively moderate northeasterly shear. However, the Dvorak subjective and ADT objective satellite intensity estimates remain unchanged from the previous advisory and the initial intensity is held at a conservative 50 kt. No significant changes were made to the intensity forecast from the previous package. However, the forecast now shows a peak intensity of 90 kt at the 48- and 72-hour time frame to correspond more with the SHIPS and Florida State Superensemble. Julio has continued to move at a swift pace this evening and the initial motion is estimated to be 270/14. A mid-tropospheric ridge extending from the southwest United States and Mexico into the eastern Pacific should steer the cyclone on the same heading and at a similar forward speed during the next 4 days. After that time, the large-scale models show the western extent of the ridge weakening in response to a mid-latitude trough approaching the Hawaiian Islands from the northwest. This change in the steering pattern should cause Julio to turn gradually toward the west- northwest, and the model guidance has shifted northward late in the period on this cycle. The NHC track forecast is therefore adjusted northward, and lies just to the south of the TVCE multi- model consensus and the Florida State Superensemble. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/0300Z 13.5N 122.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 05/1200Z 13.7N 124.7W 60 KT 70 MPH 24H 06/0000Z 14.2N 127.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 36H 06/1200Z 14.7N 130.3W 80 KT 90 MPH 48H 07/0000Z 15.2N 133.2W 90 KT 105 MPH 72H 08/0000Z 16.0N 138.9W 90 KT 105 MPH 96H 09/0000Z 16.5N 145.0W 80 KT 90 MPH 120H 10/0000Z 18.0N 151.0W 65 KT 75 MPH $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: number discussion storm julio

 

Sites : [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] next »