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Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Advisory Number 4
2016-08-29 16:43:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 29 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 291442 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 1500 UTC MON AUG 29 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 84.3W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 84.3W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 84.1W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.9N 85.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.4N 86.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.0N 87.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 26.1N 86.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.6N 83.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 31.5N 79.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 34.0N 71.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 84.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Depression EIGHT Graphics
2016-08-29 13:51:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 29 Aug 2016 11:51:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 29 Aug 2016 09:09:15 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression EIGHT (AT3/AL082016)
2016-08-29 13:50:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THAT THE DEPRESSION REMAINS WEAK... As of 8:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 29 the center of EIGHT was located near 32.9, -73.2 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1011 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Summary for Tropical Depression NINE (AT4/AL092016)
2016-08-29 11:48:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION MOVING INTO THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... As of 5:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 29 the center of NINE was located near 23.5, -83.9 with movement W at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression NINE Public Advisory Number 3
2016-08-29 11:48:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 290947 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 3...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 500 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2016 Corrected to add Cuba to the rainfall statement ...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION MOVING INTO THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.5N 83.9W ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM WSW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM WNW OF HAVANA CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was located near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 83.9 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is forecast today, followed by a slow northwestward motion on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will be passing north of the north coast of western Cuba today, and moving farther into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by tonight. Data from a NOAA reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression could become a tropical storm later today or tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over Cuba, with isolated amounts of 12 inches possible through Wednesday. These rains could cause flash floods and mudslides. Total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are possible over the southern Florida peninsula and the Florida Keys through Wednesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 7 inches could occur over coastal areas of southern Florida and the Keys. This rainfall may cause flooding and flash flooding. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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