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Summary for Tropical Depression IDA (AT5/AL102015)
2015-09-26 04:50:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...IDA HANGING IN THERE BUT COULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW THIS WEEKEND... As of 11:00 PM AST Fri Sep 25 the center of IDA was located near 22.9, -45.5 with movement NNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression IDA Public Advisory Number 31
2015-09-26 04:50:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST FRI SEP 25 2015 000 WTNT35 KNHC 260250 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015 1100 PM AST FRI SEP 25 2015 ...IDA HANGING IN THERE BUT COULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW THIS WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 45.5W ABOUT 1180 MI...1905 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ida was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 45.5 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A northwestward motion is expected on Saturday with a turn toward the west forecast on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Ida is forecast to weaken over the weekend and could degenerate into a remnant low by late Saturday or on Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Depression IDA Forecast Advisory Number 31
2015-09-26 04:49:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 26 2015 000 WTNT25 KNHC 260249 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015 0300 UTC SAT SEP 26 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 45.5W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 45.5W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 45.4W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 23.6N 46.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 24.3N 47.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 24.3N 47.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.7N 48.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.7N 51.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 22.1N 54.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 22.5N 57.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 45.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression IDA Graphics
2015-09-25 23:09:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 25 Sep 2015 20:35:11 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 25 Sep 2015 21:05:47 GMT
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Tropical Depression IDA Forecast Discussion Number 30
2015-09-25 22:35:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST FRI SEP 25 2015 000 WTNT45 KNHC 252035 TCDAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015 500 PM AST FRI SEP 25 2015 Not much has changed today and resilient Ida is still there. It consists of a tight swirl of low clouds with a curved convective band to the east of the center. The initial intensity is estimated at 25 kt. The overall circulation is expected to decay as the depression continues to move within an environment of high shear and dry air. The depression is expected to degenerate into a remnant low in about 24 hours or sooner. The center has been moving toward the northwest at about 5 kt. A high pressure system is forecast to develop over the North Atlantic, and this high will force the shallow depression, or its remnants, to move toward the northwest, and then, as the high to the north intensifies, a sharp turn to the west or southwest should occur Sunday night or Monday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/2100Z 22.5N 45.5W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 26/0600Z 23.5N 46.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 26/1800Z 24.5N 47.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 27/0600Z 25.0N 47.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 27/1800Z 24.6N 48.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 28/1800Z 23.5N 51.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 29/1800Z 22.6N 54.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
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