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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2015-09-20 22:35:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 20 2015 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 202035 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162015 2100 UTC SUN SEP 20 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YUMA AZ 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P ABREOJOS 34 20 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) P PENASCO 34 X 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) HERMOSILLO 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAHIA KINO 34 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Depression Five-C expected to strengthen
2015-09-20 01:05:47| Airlines - Topix.net
A tropical depression located west of the state is expected to intensify into a tropical storm Saturday, but it is not expected to affect the main Hawaiian islands, the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu said. At 5 a.m. Saturday, Tropical Depression Five-C was about 920 miles west southwest of Lihue and 1000 miles west of Honolulu moving northeast at 9 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression NINE Graphics
2015-09-19 16:51:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 19 Sep 2015 14:33:21 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 19 Sep 2015 14:50:49 GMT
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Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Discussion Number 13
2015-09-19 16:33:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST SAT SEP 19 2015 000 WTNT44 KNHC 191433 TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015 1100 AM AST SAT SEP 19 2015 Visible satellite imagery shows that the center of the depression is losing definition and becoming elongated. In addition, the system has been without organized convection since around 0700 UTC. Given the continued influence of strong shear and dry air, the system is expected to become a remnant low within 12 hours or could dissipate as soon as later today if the center continues to lose definition. The initial motion has been slower over the past few hours, and the current estimate is 285/05. The low- to mid-level subtropical ridge north of the cyclone should steer it or its remnants toward the west-northwest until the system dissipates completely in the next 24 to 36 hours. The new NHC track is close to the previous one adjusted for the initial position and motion. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/1500Z 18.4N 49.8W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 20/0000Z 18.8N 50.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 20/1200Z 19.4N 52.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan
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Summary for Tropical Depression NINE (AT4/AL092015)
2015-09-19 16:33:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DISORGANIZED DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW OR DISSIPATE SOON... As of 11:00 AM AST Sat Sep 19 the center of NINE was located near 18.4, -49.8 with movement WNW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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