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Tropical Depression NINE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2015-09-19 10:35:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2015 000 FONT14 KNHC 190835 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Summary for Tropical Depression NINE (AT4/AL092015)
2015-09-19 10:35:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESS ORGANIZED THAN 24 HOURS AGO... As of 5:00 AM AST Sat Sep 19 the center of NINE was located near 18.5, -49.4 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Tropical Depression NINE Public Advisory Number 12
2015-09-19 10:35:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST SAT SEP 19 2015 000 WTNT34 KNHC 190834 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015 500 AM AST SAT SEP 19 2015 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESS ORGANIZED THAN 24 HOURS AGO... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.5N 49.4W ABOUT 815 MI...1310 KM ENE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was located near latitude 18.5 North, longitude 49.4 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Satellite imagery indicates that the depression is becoming less organized, and it is expected to degenerate to a remnant low pressure area later today or tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Advisory Number 12
2015-09-19 10:35:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2015 000 WTNT24 KNHC 190834 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 49.4W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 49.4W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 49.0W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.9N 50.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.5N 52.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.1N 53.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.9N 55.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 49.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Depression NINE Graphics
2015-09-19 05:11:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 19 Sep 2015 02:39:39 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 19 Sep 2015 03:06:46 GMT
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