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Tropical Depression NINE Public Advisory Number 10
2015-09-18 22:32:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST FRI SEP 18 2015 000 WTNT34 KNHC 182032 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015 500 PM AST FRI SEP 18 2015 ...DISORGANIZED DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW SATURDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 47.3W ABOUT 945 MI...1515 KM ENE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 47.3 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue until the system dissipates in 2 to 3 days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast, and the depression is expected to become a remnant low on Saturday, and dissipate by Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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Tropical Depression NINE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2015-09-18 22:32:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2015 000 FONT14 KNHC 182032 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Advisory Number 10
2015-09-18 22:32:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2015 000 WTNT24 KNHC 182031 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 47.3W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 47.3W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 47.0W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.4N 48.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.6N 51.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.2N 53.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 47.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Tropical Depression TEN Graphics
2015-09-18 17:13:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 18 Sep 2015 14:33:31 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 18 Sep 2015 15:05:37 GMT
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Tropical Depression NINE Graphics
2015-09-18 17:09:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 18 Sep 2015 14:32:36 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 18 Sep 2015 15:04:49 GMT
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