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Tropical Depression TWO Public Advisory Number 9
2013-06-19 16:33:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013 000 WTNT32 KNHC 191433 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013 1000 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED... ...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL CHECK LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.6N 94.5W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM N OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ THURSDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THERE IS A STRONG LIKELIHOOD THAT THE DEPRESSION WILL BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST ON THURSDAY. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WILL CHECK THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Depression TWO Forecast Advisory Number 9
2013-06-19 16:33:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUN 19 2013 000 WTNT22 KNHC 191433 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013 1500 UTC WED JUN 19 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 94.5W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 94.5W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 93.9W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.5N 95.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.5N 96.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.5N 97.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.5N 98.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 94.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Depression TWO Graphics
2013-06-19 13:39:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 19 Jun 2013 11:39:30 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 19 Jun 2013 09:04:44 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression TWO (AT2/AL022013)
2013-06-19 13:38:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON ITS WAY TOWARD THE COAST OF MEXICO... As of 7:00 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 the center of TWO was located near 19.4, -94.0 with movement WNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression TWO Public Advisory Number 8A
2013-06-19 13:38:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013 000 WTNT32 KNHC 191137 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013 700 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON ITS WAY TOWARD THE COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.4N 94.0W ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM NNE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ THURSDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WILL INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO LANDFALL. WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST ON THURSDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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