je.st
news
Tag: depression
Tropical Depression Four-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2019-07-13 10:31:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUL 13 2019 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 130831 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042019 0900 UTC SAT JUL 13 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X 8( 8) 8(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) $$ FORECASTER LATTO/CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Tropical Depression Four-E Forecast Advisory Number 3
2019-07-13 10:31:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUL 13 2019 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 130831 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042019 0900 UTC SAT JUL 13 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.7W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.7W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 109.2W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.6N 111.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.0N 114.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.3N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 109.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO/CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Four-E Graphics
2019-07-13 04:34:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 13 Jul 2019 02:34:28 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 13 Jul 2019 03:30:55 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression Four-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
2019-07-13 04:34:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT Fri Jul 12 2019 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 130234 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Four-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042019 900 PM MDT Fri Jul 12 2019 The depression looks less organized than a few hours ago, with the apparent low-level center displaced a fair distance from the mid-level circulation to the southwest. In addition, deep convection has decreased markedly during that time, although a new burst is forming in the southwestern quadrant. The initial wind speed is kept 30 kt in agreement with the latest Dvorak estimates. The cyclone probably only has the convective maximum period overnight to become a tropical storm before a combination of strong shear, cooling SSTs, and upper-level convergence start a steady weakening. In fact, the depression is forecast by all of the dynamical guidance to lose deep convection near or just after 24 hours. Thus, the NHC intensity forecast is lowered 5 kt from the previous one, similar to the consensus, and the remnant low timing is pushed up to 36h as well. An uncertain motion is 300/11 kt. A low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone should gradually turn the depression westward during the next couple of days with a slight increase in forward speed. Models have come into better agreement on the track of the depression, not too far from the previous NHC track prediction, so the new forecast is basically the same as the previous one. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/0300Z 15.8N 108.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 13/1200Z 16.7N 110.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 14/0000Z 17.5N 112.4W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 14/1200Z 17.9N 114.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 15/0000Z 18.0N 117.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Summary for Tropical Depression Four-E (EP4/EP042019)
2019-07-13 04:33:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE WEEKEND... As of 9:00 PM MDT Fri Jul 12 the center of Four-E was located near 15.8, -108.5 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Sites : [645] [646] [647] [648] [649] [650] [651] [652] [653] [654] [655] [656] [657] [658] [659] [660] [661] [662] [663] [664] next »