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Summary for Tropical Depression FOUR-E (EP4/EP042016)

2016-07-07 22:33:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD... ...MAY NOT STRENGTHEN UNTIL FRIDAY... As of 3:00 PM MDT Thu Jul 7 the center of FOUR-E was located near 12.4, -111.7 with movement W at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression FOUR-E Public Advisory Number 5

2016-07-07 22:33:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 300 PM MDT THU JUL 07 2016 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 072033 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042016 300 PM MDT THU JUL 07 2016 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD... ...MAY NOT STRENGTHEN UNTIL FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.4N 111.7W ABOUT 735 MI...1180 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 111.7 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, but the depression may not become a tropical storm until Friday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

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Tropical Depression FOUR-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

2016-07-07 22:33:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUL 07 2016 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 072033 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042016 2100 UTC THU JUL 07 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Tropical Depression FOUR-E Graphics

2016-07-07 16:37:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 07 Jul 2016 14:37:42 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 07 Jul 2016 14:36:33 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Depression FOUR-E (EP4/EP042016)

2016-07-07 16:36:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT IN ANY HURRY TO STRENGTHEN... As of 9:00 AM MDT Thu Jul 7 the center of FOUR-E was located near 12.7, -110.8 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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