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Summary for Tropical Depression FOUR-E (EP4/EP042016)

2016-07-07 10:43:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... As of 3:00 AM MDT Thu Jul 7 the center of FOUR-E was located near 12.6, -110.2 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression FOUR-E Public Advisory Number 3

2016-07-07 10:43:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 300 AM MDT THU JUL 07 2016 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 070843 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042016 300 AM MDT THU JUL 07 2016 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.6N 110.2W ABOUT 710 MI...1145 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E was located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 110.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the west is expected later today, and this motion should continue for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Tropical Depression FOUR-E Forecast Advisory Number 3

2016-07-07 10:42:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 07 2016 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 070842 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042016 0900 UTC THU JUL 07 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 110.2W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 110.2W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 109.8W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 12.7N 111.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 12.8N 112.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 12.9N 114.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 13.1N 115.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.1N 119.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 14.0N 123.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 15.6N 127.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 110.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Depression FOUR-E Graphics

2016-07-07 04:36:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 07 Jul 2016 02:36:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 07 Jul 2016 02:35:52 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Depression FOUR-E (EP4/EP042016)

2016-07-07 04:34:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM MEXICO... As of 9:00 PM MDT Wed Jul 6 the center of FOUR-E was located near 12.4, -109.9 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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