je.st

Home › irwin

Tag: irwin

Tropical Storm Irwin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18

2017-07-26 22:35:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUL 26 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 262035 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102017 2100 UTC WED JUL 26 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 120W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 10N 125W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 15N 125W 34 7 49(56) 13(69) 3(72) 6(78) 1(79) 1(80) 15N 125W 50 X 11(11) 8(19) 1(20) 9(29) 1(30) X(30) 15N 125W 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 11(13) 6(19) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

Tags: number speed wind storm

Summary for Tropical Storm Irwin (EP5/EP102017)

2017-07-26 22:35:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...IRWIN FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 2:00 PM PDT Wed Jul 26 the center of Irwin was located near 15.1, -122.8 with movement WSW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

Tags: summary storm tropical irwin

Tropical Storm Irwin Public Advisory Number 18

2017-07-26 22:35:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT Wed Jul 26 2017 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 262035 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Irwin Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102017 200 PM PDT Wed Jul 26 2017 ...IRWIN FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 122.8W ABOUT 1000 MI...1605 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Irwin was located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 122.8 West. Irwin is moving toward the west-southwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this slow motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: number public storm advisory

Tropical Storm Irwin Forecast Advisory Number 18

2017-07-26 22:34:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUL 26 2017 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 262034 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102017 2100 UTC WED JUL 26 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 122.8W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 122.8W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 122.5W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.9N 123.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.5N 124.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 14.5N 125.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 14.5N 126.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 15.5N 125.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 18.0N 126.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 21.0N 128.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 122.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

Tags: number storm advisory tropical