je.st
news
Tag: blas
Hurricane BLAS Public Advisory Number 18
2016-07-07 10:44:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT THU JUL 07 2016 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 070843 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE BLAS ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 200 AM PDT THU JUL 07 2016 ...BLAS STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 126.4W ABOUT 1175 MI...1895 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Blas was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 126.4 West. Blas is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through today. A turn toward the northwest is forecast on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Blas is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Blas is expected to weaken to a tropical storm by Friday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb (28.23 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: number
public
advisory
hurricane
Hurricane BLAS Forecast Advisory Number 18
2016-07-07 10:42:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 07 2016 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 070842 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 0900 UTC THU JUL 07 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 126.4W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......130NE 140SE 70SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 180SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 126.4W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 125.9W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.4N 127.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.2N 129.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.3N 130.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.5N 131.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.5N 135.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 22.0N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 22.0N 143.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 126.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Tags: number
advisory
forecast
hurricane
Hurricane BLAS Graphics
2016-07-07 04:35:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 07 Jul 2016 02:35:47 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 07 Jul 2016 02:34:35 GMT
Tags: graphics
hurricane
blas
hurricane graphics
Hurricane BLAS Forecast Discussion Number 17
2016-07-07 04:35:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT WED JUL 06 2016 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 070234 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 800 PM PDT WED JUL 06 2016 The satellite presentation of Blas remains quite impressive. The eye of the hurricane is about 20-25 n mi wide with evidence of mesovorticies within it. The convective structure has changed little throughout the day and remains fairly symmetric around the center. A blend of the latest Dvorak classifications from TAFB, SAB, and the automated technique from CIMSS at the University of Wisconsin suggest that the intensity of Blas is holding steady at around 110 kt. The major hurricane is not far away from cool water, and it will likely be crossing the 26 C isotherm in about 12 hours. These anticipated unfavorable oceanic conditions combined with a progressively more stable air mass should promote a steady weakening trend during the next several days. The NHC intensity forecast is an update of the previous one and is fairly close to the intensity model consensus. The system is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone in about 4 days when sea surface temperatures beneath the cyclone will likely be around 24 C. Blas is moving west-northwestward at about 10 kt on the southwestern periphery of a sprawling mid-level ridge. This general motion should continue for the next couple of days as the ridge remains the primary steering influence. Beyond that time, the forecast track is less certain as the model spread remains quite large with the GFS-based guidance showing a northwestward motion around the east side of a mid- to upper-level low northeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Conversely, the ECMWF and UKMET models show less interaction with the upper low, resulting in a more westward track. The NHC track forecast remains near the middle of the guidance envelope and is in best agreement with the consensus aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/0300Z 15.7N 125.4W 110 KT 125 MPH 12H 07/1200Z 16.1N 126.8W 100 KT 115 MPH 24H 08/0000Z 16.7N 128.4W 90 KT 105 MPH 36H 08/1200Z 17.5N 129.8W 75 KT 85 MPH 48H 09/0000Z 18.7N 131.2W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 10/0000Z 20.8N 134.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 96H 11/0000Z 22.1N 138.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 120H 12/0000Z 22.2N 142.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
discussion
forecast
hurricane
Summary for Hurricane BLAS (EP3/EP032016)
2016-07-07 04:34:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...BLAS HOLDING ITS STRENGTH AS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE... As of 8:00 PM PDT Wed Jul 6 the center of BLAS was located near 15.7, -125.4 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 956 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 125 mph.
Tags: summary
hurricane
blas
ep3ep032016
Sites : [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] next »