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Hurricane Jose Wind Speed Probabilities Number 43
2017-09-16 06:16:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 000 FONT12 KNHC 160415 PWSAT2 HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 43 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS ...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) PORTSMOUTH NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) WORCESTER MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BOSTON MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 19(31) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 19(35) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 14(24) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 8(18) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 12(23) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) NEW LONDON CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 12(26) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 6(19) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 4(19) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 3(19) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) 2(20) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) 2(19) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) 1(15) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) 1(16) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17) 1(18) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) 1(19) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 17(23) 6(29) 1(30) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) X(14) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) 4(19) X(19) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 4(16) X(16) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) SAN SALVADOR 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Hurricane Jose Graphics
2017-09-16 04:58:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 16 Sep 2017 02:58:22 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 16 Sep 2017 02:58:23 GMT
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Hurricane Jose Forecast Discussion Number 43
2017-09-16 04:51:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 15 2017 000 WTNT42 KNHC 160251 TCDAT2 Hurricane Jose Discussion Number 43 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 15 2017 Since the reconnaissance flight earlier this afternoon, convection within the inner-core of Jose has increased in coverage and organization. A banding eye appears to be forming, and a warm spot is apparent in IR imagery near the center of the cyclone. Dvorak classifications at 0000 UTC still supported an intensity of 65 kt, but given the increase in organization since then, the initial intensity has been increased to 70 kt. Additional strengthening is still expected for at least the next 24 to 36 h. After that time, an increase in southwesterly shear and gradually cooling SSTs are still expected to cap the intensification and eventually cause Jose to gradually weaken. The official intensity forecast remains a little above the model consensus for the first 48 h, and is close after that. Jose continues to move toward the northwest, and the initial motion estimate is 305/8 kt. The main source of uncertainty in the track forecast is at days 4 and 5, since the global models disagree on the speed at which Jose will move northward along the western edge of the subtropical ridge. The GFS continues to show a faster movement, which allows Jose to pass very close to the U.S. east coast before an approaching trough forces the cyclone to turn more toward the northeast. On the other hand, the ECMWF shows a slower track, so the trough steers the hurricane farther east. The NHC forecast has not been changed substantially and is still just a touch slower than the model consensus, out of respect to the ECMWF. When the 00Z ECMWF and UKMET models become available tonight, it could shed more light on the future speed of the hurricane. It is still important to note that the average NHC track errors at days 4 and 5 are about 175 and 225 miles, respectively, and this error could be in the speed of the hurricane (along track error). While the official track forecast keeps the center of Jose offshore for the next few days, all of the global models show the hurricane becoming rather large by late this weekend as it moves to the east of North Carolina. For that reason, a tropical storm watch may be needed for a portion of the North Carolina coast tomorrow. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, the northern coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico, and the southeast coast of the United States, and will spread northward, reaching the mid-Atlantic coast and the coast of southern New England during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause dangerous surf and rip current conditions. 2. Although the center of Jose is forecast to pass well east of the North Carolina coast early next week, tropical-storm-force winds are expected to extend well west of the center and could approach the North Carolina Outer Banks on Monday. Farther north along the U.S. east coast, the chance of some direct impacts from Jose is increasing, but it is too soon to determine their exact magnitude and location. Interests along the U.S. east coast from North Carolina to New England should monitor the progress of Jose through the weekend. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/0300Z 27.4N 71.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 16/1200Z 28.1N 71.9W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 17/0000Z 29.2N 72.3W 80 KT 90 MPH 36H 17/1200Z 30.6N 72.2W 80 KT 90 MPH 48H 18/0000Z 32.0N 72.0W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 19/0000Z 34.6N 71.8W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 20/0000Z 37.5N 71.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 120H 21/0000Z 41.0N 68.5W 55 KT 65 MPH $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Hurricane Jose Wind Speed Probabilities Number 43
2017-09-16 04:50:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 000 FONT12 KNHC 160250 PWSAT2 HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 43 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS ...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) PORTSMOUTH NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) WORCESTER MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BOSTON MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 19(31) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 19(35) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 14(24) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 8(18) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 12(23) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) NEW LONDON CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 12(26) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 6(19) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 4(19) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 3(19) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) 2(20) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) 2(19) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) 1(15) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) 1(16) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17) 1(18) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) 1(19) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 17(23) 6(29) 1(30) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) X(14) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) 4(19) X(19) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 4(16) X(16) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) SAN SALVADOR 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Summary for Hurricane Jose (AT2/AL122017)
2017-09-16 04:50:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...JOSE A LITTLE STRONGER... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES POSSIBLE IN THE UNITED STATES ON SATURDAY... As of 11:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 15 the center of Jose was located near 27.4, -71.0 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 983 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.
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at2al122017
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