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Summary for Hurricane Jose (AT2/AL122017)
2017-09-10 10:49:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HURRICANE JOSE EXPECTED TO LINGER OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS... As of 5:00 AM AST Sun Sep 10 the center of Jose was located near 20.8, -64.5 with movement NW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 944 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 130 mph.
Hurricane Jose Public Advisory Number 20
2017-09-10 10:49:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Sun Sep 10 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 100849 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 500 AM AST Sun Sep 10 2017 ...HURRICANE JOSE EXPECTED TO LINGER OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.8N 64.5W ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM NNW OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM E OF GRAND TURK ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...944 MB...27.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * St. Martin * Sint Maarten * St. Barthelemy These warnings will likely be lowered later this morning. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 64.5 West. Jose is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue over the next 24 hours. A slower forward motion is expected later Monday into Tuesday as Jose begins to make a turn toward the north. Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Jose is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 944 mb (27.88 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions, primarily in gusts, are expected within the tropical storm warning areas through this morning. SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and the northern coast of Puerto Rico, and will begin to affect Hispaniola, portions of the Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands over the next couple of days. These swells are likely to produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Birchard/Blake
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Hurricane Jose Forecast Advisory Number 20
2017-09-10 10:47:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 100847 TCMAT2 HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 0900 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. MARTIN * SINT MAARTEN * ST. BARTHELEMY THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER THIS MORNING. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 64.5W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 944 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT.......140NE 140SE 50SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 64.5W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 64.0W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.2N 66.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 50SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.2N 67.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.6N 69.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.5N 68.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 26.3N 67.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 25.0N 66.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 24.5N 70.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 64.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BIRCHARD/BLAKE
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Hurricane Jose Graphics
2017-09-10 07:57:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 10 Sep 2017 05:57:28 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 10 Sep 2017 03:32:12 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane Jose (AT2/AL122017)
2017-09-10 07:53:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE JOSE PASSING WELL NORTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO... As of 2:00 AM AST Sun Sep 10 the center of Jose was located near 20.4, -64.0 with movement NW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 944 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 130 mph.
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