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Tropical Storm Alvin Graphics

2019-06-27 10:40:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 27 Jun 2019 08:40:44 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 27 Jun 2019 09:24:04 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm Alvin (EP1/EP012019)

2019-06-27 10:40:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...TINY ALVIN STRENGTHENS OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC OCEAN... As of 3:00 AM MDT Thu Jun 27 the center of Alvin was located near 15.1, -111.9 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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Tropical Storm Alvin Public Advisory Number 7

2019-06-27 10:40:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 300 AM MDT Thu Jun 27 2019 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 270840 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Alvin Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012019 300 AM MDT Thu Jun 27 2019 ...TINY ALVIN STRENGTHENS OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC OCEAN... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 111.9W ABOUT 555 MI...890 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Alvin was located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 111.9 West. Alvin is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours. Weakening is expected to begin on Friday, and Alvin is forecast to become a remnant low on Saturday. Alvin is a small tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Tropical Storm Alvin Forecast Advisory Number 7

2019-06-27 10:40:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUN 27 2019 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 270840 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012019 0900 UTC THU JUN 27 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 111.9W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 111.9W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 111.4W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.9N 113.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.3N 116.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.7N 118.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.6N 119.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.7N 122.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 111.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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