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Tropical Storm BERTHA Forecast Advisory Number 11

2014-08-03 16:33:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014 000 WTNT23 KNHC 031433 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014 1500 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS * THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 72.6W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......140NE 100SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 72.6W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 72.1W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 24.3N 73.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 27.4N 74.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.7N 73.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 33.7N 71.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.5N 64.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 20NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 44.0N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 47.5N 43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 72.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Storm BERTHA Graphics

2014-08-03 14:09:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 03 Aug 2014 12:09:46 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 03 Aug 2014 09:07:47 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm BERTHA (AT3/AL032014)

2014-08-03 14:01:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...BERTHA NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS... ...HEAVY RAINFALL STILL A THREAT FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... As of 8:00 AM EDT Sun Aug 3 the center of BERTHA was located near 21.5, -71.8 with movement NW at 21 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1012 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm BERTHA Public Advisory Number 10A

2014-08-03 14:01:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 AM EDT SUN AUG 03 2014 000 WTNT33 KNHC 031201 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A...UPDATED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014 800 AM EDT SUN AUG 03 2014 UPDATED TO SHOW DISCONTINUED TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ...BERTHA NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS... ...HEAVY RAINFALL STILL A THREAT FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.5N 71.8W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM W OF GRAND TURK ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS * THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.8 WEST. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND THEN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND MOVE EAST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS LATE TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON MONDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC IN THE WARNING AREA LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY LATER TODAY. RAINFALL...BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AS WELL THE TURKS AND CAICOS THROUGH MONDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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