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Summary for Tropical Depression NINE (AT4/AL092015)
2015-09-16 16:33:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS FAR FROM LAND IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... As of 11:00 AM AST Wed Sep 16 the center of NINE was located near 15.0, -43.1 with movement NNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1010 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Tropical Depression NINE Public Advisory Number 1
2015-09-16 16:33:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST WED SEP 16 2015 000 WTNT34 KNHC 161433 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015 1100 AM AST WED SEP 16 2015 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS FAR FROM LAND IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.0N 43.1W ABOUT 1215 MI...1950 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES ABOUT 1270 MI...2050 KM W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 43.1 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Thursday. A turn toward the northwest is forecast on Thursday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Advisory Number 1
2015-09-16 16:32:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 16 2015 000 WTNT24 KNHC 161432 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015 1500 UTC WED SEP 16 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 43.1W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 43.1W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 43.0W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.0N 43.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.3N 44.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.5N 44.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.7N 45.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 22.0N 47.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 24.0N 50.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 43.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Tropical Depression EIGHT Graphics
2015-09-09 22:51:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 09 Sep 2015 20:45:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 09 Sep 2015 20:50:46 GMT
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Tropical Depression EIGHT Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2015-09-09 22:43:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED SEP 09 2015 000 FONT13 KNHC 092042 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082015 2100 UTC WED SEP 09 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 14(34) X(34) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 2(32) X(32) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 11(19) X(19) X(19) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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