je.st
news
Tag: depression
Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2013-11-02 15:52:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT NOV 02 2013 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 021452 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182013 1500 UTC SAT NOV 02 2013 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 2 6 10 17 61 NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 34 36 35 40 32 NA NA TROPICAL STORM 64 56 52 41 7 NA NA HURRICANE X 2 3 3 X NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 X 2 3 2 X NA NA HUR CAT 2 X X X X X NA NA HUR CAT 3 X X X X X NA NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X X NA NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X X NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35KT 35KT 35KT 30KT 15KT NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 6(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 9(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ISLA SOCORRO 34 5 13(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Summary for Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E (EP3/EP182013)
2013-11-02 15:51:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... As of 8:00 AM PDT Sat Nov 2 the center of EIGHTEEN-E was located near 17.6, -109.1 with movement NW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E Public Advisory Number 6
2013-11-02 15:51:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT SAT NOV 02 2013 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 021451 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182013 800 AM PDT SAT NOV 02 2013 ...DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.6N 109.1W ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND WEST-CENTRAL MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY AN ACCELERATION AND TURN TO THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WOULD PASS NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA BY SUNDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND ONLY A SMALL AMOUNT OF STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND MAINLAND MEXICO. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E Forecast Advisory Number 6
2013-11-02 15:51:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT NOV 02 2013 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 021451 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182013 1500 UTC SAT NOV 02 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND WEST-CENTRAL MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 109.1W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 109.1W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 108.9W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 109.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.6N 110.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.9N 109.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 24.8N 107.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 28.5N 105.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 109.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E Graphics
2013-11-02 10:08:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 02 Nov 2013 08:38:30 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 02 Nov 2013 09:04:48 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Sites : [1480] [1481] [1482] [1483] [1484] [1485] [1486] [1487] [1488] [1489] [1490] [1491] [1492] [1493] [1494] [1495] [1496] [1497] [1498] [1499] next »