je.st
news
Tag: depression
Summary for Tropical Depression GABRIELLE (AT2/AL072013)
2013-09-13 16:41:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...GABRIELLE ACCELERATES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO BRING RAINS TO ATLANTIC CANADA... As of 11:00 AM AST Fri Sep 13 the center of GABRIELLE was located near 39.1, -66.5 with movement NNE at 23 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression GABRIELLE Public Advisory Number 21
2013-09-13 16:41:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST FRI SEP 13 2013 000 WTNT32 KNHC 131440 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013 1100 AM AST FRI SEP 13 2013 ...GABRIELLE ACCELERATES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO BRING RAINS TO ATLANTIC CANADA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.1N 66.5W ABOUT 245 MI...390 KM SE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.5 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/H. GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE DAY TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE CIRCULATION OF GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY TONIGHT AS IT APPROACHES NOVA SCOTIA. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO BRING RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES TO PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC CANADA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ZELINSKY
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression GABRIELLE Forecast Discussion Number 21
2013-09-13 16:40:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST FRI SEP 13 2013 000 WTNT42 KNHC 131440 TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013 1100 AM AST FRI SEP 13 2013 AMBIGUITIES FROM AN 0200 UTC ASCAT PASS SUGGEST THAT THERE ARE VERY LITTLE...IF ANY...NORTHERLY WINDS ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. GABRIELLE HAS ACCELERATED TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SINCE THAT TIME...REDUCING THE LIKELIHOOD THAT NORTH WINDS ARE PRESENT. HOWEVER...A LARGE BURST OF CONVECTION DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AT LEAST MAKES IT PLAUSIBLE THAT THE CIRCULATION REMAINS CLOSED...AND SO GABRIELLE IS BEING HELD AS A 30 KT TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOR THIS ADVISORY. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE MAXIMUM WINDS IS POSSIBLE TODAY DUE TO BAROCLINIC PROCESSES. THE FORWARD SPEED OF GABRIELLE HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 020/20. ALL OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE DEPRESSION WILL CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WHILE IT INTERACTS WITH A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES AND CANADA. THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT GABRIELLE WILL OPEN UP INTO A TROUGH LATER TODAY...ALTHOUGH THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CONSERVATIVELY SHOWS A 12-HOUR FORECAST POINT. AFTER THAT...GABRIELLE OR ITS REMNANTS SHOULD GET ABSORBED BY AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/1500Z 39.1N 66.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 14/0000Z 43.2N 64.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ZELINSKY
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression GABRIELLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21
2013-09-13 16:40:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 13 2013 000 FONT12 KNHC 131440 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013 1500 UTC FRI SEP 13 2013 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 33 NA NA NA NA NA NA TROPICAL STORM 66 NA NA NA NA NA NA HURRICANE 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 2 X NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 3 X NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 4 X NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 5 X NA NA NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35KT NA NA NA NA NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HALIFAX NS 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) YARMOUTH NS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ZELINSKY
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Tropical Depression GABRIELLE Forecast Advisory Number 21
2013-09-13 16:39:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 13 2013 000 WTNT22 KNHC 131439 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013 1500 UTC FRI SEP 13 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 66.5W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 66.5W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 67.1W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 43.2N 64.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.1N 66.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ZELINSKY
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Sites : [1534] [1535] [1536] [1537] [1538] [1539] [1540] [1541] [1542] [1543] [1544] [1545] [1546] [1547] [1548] [1549] [1550] [1551] [1552] [1553] next »