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Hurricane Sergio Public Advisory Number 11
2018-10-02 04:50:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT Mon Oct 01 2018 380 WTPZ31 KNHC 020250 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 900 PM MDT Mon Oct 01 2018 ...SERGIO BECOMES A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.9N 112.0W ABOUT 760 MI...1220 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 840 MI...1350 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sergio was located near latitude 10.9 North, longitude 112.0 West. Sergio is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue through tonight. A turn toward the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday and a northwestward motion is forecast on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Hurricane Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 11
2018-10-02 04:49:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 02 2018 761 WTPZ21 KNHC 020249 TCMEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 0300 UTC TUE OCT 02 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 112.0W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 112.0W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 111.5W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 11.2N 113.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 11.7N 115.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 12.6N 117.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.7N 118.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 17.0N 124.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 17.5N 127.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N 112.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm Sergio Graphics
2018-10-01 22:35:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 01 Oct 2018 20:35:25 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 01 Oct 2018 20:35:25 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Sergio (EP1/EP212018)
2018-10-01 22:33:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...SERGIO REMAINS JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH... As of 3:00 PM MDT Mon Oct 1 the center of Sergio was located near 11.3, -111.0 with movement W at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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Tropical Storm Sergio Public Advisory Number 10
2018-10-01 22:33:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Mon Oct 01 2018 682 WTPZ31 KNHC 012033 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Sergio Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 300 PM MDT Mon Oct 01 2018 ...SERGIO REMAINS JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.3N 111.0W ABOUT 695 MI...1115 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 805 MI...1295 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 11.3 North, longitude 111.0 West. Sergio is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue through tonight. A turn toward the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday and a northwestward motion is forecast on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Sergio is forecast to become a hurricane tonight or Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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