je.st

Home › leslie

Tag: leslie

Hurricane Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 31

2018-10-04 04:33:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 04 2018 348 FONT13 KNHC 040232 PWSAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 0300 UTC THU OCT 04 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA

Tags: number speed wind hurricane

Summary for Hurricane Leslie (AT3/AL132018)

2018-10-04 04:32:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...LESLIE REFUSES TO CHANGE MUCH IN INTENSITY... As of 11:00 PM AST Wed Oct 3 the center of Leslie was located near 30.6, -57.0 with movement N at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 975 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.

Tags: summary hurricane leslie at3al132018

Hurricane Leslie Public Advisory Number 31

2018-10-04 04:32:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Wed Oct 03 2018 357 WTNT33 KNHC 040232 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 31 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 PM AST Wed Oct 03 2018 ...LESLIE REFUSES TO CHANGE MUCH IN INTENSITY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.6N 57.0W ABOUT 475 MI...765 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 30.6 North, longitude 57.0 West. Leslie is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion should continue through Friday night. A sharp turn to the east is expected this weekend. Maximum sustained winds remain near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Small fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day or two. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect portions of the southeastern coast of the United States, Bermuda, and the Bahamas during the next few days. Swells are expected to increase near the coasts of New England and Atlantic Canada by the end of the week. Please consult products from your local weather office as these conditions could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: number public advisory hurricane

Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 31

2018-10-04 04:32:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 04 2018 358 WTNT23 KNHC 040232 TCMAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 0300 UTC THU OCT 04 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 57.0W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT.......140NE 130SE 150SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 540SW 540NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 57.0W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 57.0W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 32.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 150SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 34.2N 57.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 36.0N 57.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 190SE 160SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 37.0N 57.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 160SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 36.5N 56.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 170SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 36.5N 53.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 35.5N 50.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 57.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

Tags: number advisory forecast hurricane