je.st
news
Tag: leslie
Hurricane Leslie Graphics
2018-10-03 16:34:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 03 Oct 2018 14:34:44 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 03 Oct 2018 15:22:06 GMT
Tags: graphics
hurricane
leslie
hurricane graphics
Hurricane Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 29
2018-10-03 16:33:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 03 2018 376 FONT13 KNHC 031432 PWSAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 1500 UTC WED OCT 03 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
speed
wind
hurricane
Hurricane Leslie Forecast Discussion Number 29
2018-10-03 16:33:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Wed Oct 03 2018 368 WTNT43 KNHC 031432 TCDAT3 Hurricane Leslie Discussion Number 29 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 AM AST Wed Oct 03 2018 Leslie continues to slowly strengthen. Satellite images indicate that the deep convection has been gradually increasing in coverage and become more symmetric around the large ragged eye of the hurricane. An average of the latest Dvorak classifications from TAFB and SAB support increasing the initial wind speed to 70 kt. Leslie still has a little more time to strengthen as it should remain over waters warmer than 26 deg C and in favorable atmospheric conditions for about another day. Thereafter, the hurricane is expected to move over progressively cooler water, which should induce a slow weakening trend. The NHC intensity forecast lies closest to the IVCN and HCCA consensus aids. The hurricane has come to a stall, as expected, in very weak steering currents. The combination of a shortwave trough moving off the New England coast and a building ridge to the southeast of Leslie should cause the hurricane to begin moving northward this evening. This motion with an increase in forward speed should continue through Friday. By the weekend, the hurricane is expected to turn to the east due to a broad trough over the north Atlantic. The models remain in very good agreement, and little change was made to the previous NHC forecast track. Large swells generated by Leslie are expected to increase over the next day or two across the southeastern coast of the United States, Bermuda, the Bahamas, and the Greater and Lesser Antilles. These swells will also begin to increase near the coasts of New England and Atlantic Canada on Friday. Please consult products from your local weather office as these conditions could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/1500Z 29.5N 56.8W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 04/0000Z 30.0N 56.9W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 04/1200Z 31.6N 56.8W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 05/0000Z 33.9N 57.0W 75 KT 85 MPH 48H 05/1200Z 35.6N 57.3W 70 KT 80 MPH 72H 06/1200Z 36.9N 56.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 07/1200Z 37.0N 54.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 120H 08/1200Z 36.7N 49.8W 55 KT 65 MPH $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
discussion
forecast
hurricane
Summary for Hurricane Leslie (AT3/AL132018)
2018-10-03 16:32:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LESLIE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE WHILE MEANDERING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... As of 11:00 AM AST Wed Oct 3 the center of Leslie was located near 29.5, -56.8 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 975 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.
Tags: summary
hurricane
leslie
at3al132018
Hurricane Leslie Public Advisory Number 29
2018-10-03 16:32:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Wed Oct 03 2018 264 WTNT33 KNHC 031432 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 29 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 AM AST Wed Oct 03 2018 ...LESLIE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE WHILE MEANDERING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.5N 56.8W ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 29.5 North, longitude 56.8 West. Leslie is stationary and little motion is expected for the next several hours. A northward motion is forecast to begin this evening, and this motion with an increase in forward speed should continue through Friday night. A turn to the east is expected this weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, but a slow weakening trend is expected to begin on Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect portions of the southeastern coast of the United States, Bermuda, and the Bahamas during the next few days. Swells are expected to increase near the coasts of New England and Atlantic Canada by the end of the week. Please consult products from your local weather office as these conditions could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
public
advisory
hurricane
Sites : [44] [45] [46] [47] [48] [49] [50] [51] [52] [53] [54] [55] [56] [57] [58] [59] [60] [61] [62] [63] next »