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Summary for Tropical Storm ERIKA (AT5/AL052015)
2015-08-26 10:38:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NEW TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Aug 26 the center of ERIKA was located near 16.1, -56.0 with movement W at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm ERIKA Public Advisory Number 6
2015-08-26 10:38:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST WED AUG 26 2015 000 WTNT35 KNHC 260838 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015 500 AM AST WED AUG 26 2015 ...NEW TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.1N 56.0W ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM E OF ANTIGUA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Vieques, and Culebra. The Meteorological Service of Antigua has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Montserrat, Antigua and Barbuda, St. Kitts and Nevis, and the British Virgin Islands. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Anguilla * Saba and St. Eustatius * St. Maarten * Montserrat * Antigua and Barbuda * St. Kitts and Nevis * Puerto Rico * Vieques * Culebra * U.S. Virgin Islands * British Virgin Islands A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Guadeloupe * St. Martin * St. Barthelemy A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 56.0 West. Erika is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h), and a west to west-northwestward motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands tonight and move near the Virgin Islands on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slow strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and reach the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area tonight and early Thursday. RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico through Friday morning. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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Tropical Storm ERIKA Forecast Advisory Number 6
2015-08-26 10:37:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 26 2015 000 WTNT25 KNHC 260837 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015 0900 UTC WED AUG 26 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA. THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA...ST. KITTS AND NEVIS...AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANGUILLA * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS * ST. MAARTEN * MONTSERRAT * ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA * ST. KITTS AND NEVIS * PUERTO RICO * VIEQUES * CULEBRA * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GUADELOUPE * ST. MARTIN * ST. BARTHELEMY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 56.0W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 30SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 56.0W AT 26/0900Z AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 55.2W FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.5N 58.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.2N 61.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.1N 64.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.2N 67.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.4N 72.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 20SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 24.0N 76.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 26.0N 79.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 56.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Tropical Storm ERIKA Graphics
2015-08-26 07:37:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 26 Aug 2015 05:37:21 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 26 Aug 2015 03:06:48 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm ERIKA (AT5/AL052015)
2015-08-26 07:36:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ERIKA MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD TOWARD THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... As of 2:00 AM AST Wed Aug 26 the center of ERIKA was located near 16.0, -55.2 with movement W at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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