je.st

Home › olaf

Tag: olaf

Hurricane OLAF Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14

2015-10-18 10:51:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 180851 PWSEP4 HURRICANE OLAF WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 0900 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 4(16) 10N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 10N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 24(34) 8(42) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 3(16) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

Tags: number speed wind hurricane

Summary for Hurricane OLAF (EP4/EP192015)

2015-10-18 10:50:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...OLAF BECOMES THE ELEVENTH HURRICANE OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC SEASON... As of 2:00 AM PDT Sun Oct 18 the center of OLAF was located near 9.4, -131.9 with movement W at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 991 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.

Tags: summary hurricane olaf ep4ep192015

Hurricane OLAF Public Advisory Number 14

2015-10-18 10:50:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 2015 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 180850 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 200 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 2015 ...OLAF BECOMES THE ELEVENTH HURRICANE OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC SEASON... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...9.4N 131.9W ABOUT 1725 MI...2780 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Olaf was located near latitude 9.4 North, longitude 131.9 West. Olaf is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue today with a turn toward the west-northwest forecast on Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast and Olaf could become a major hurricane on Monday. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: number public advisory hurricane

Hurricane OLAF Forecast Advisory Number 14

2015-10-18 10:50:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 180850 TCMEP4 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 0900 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 131.9W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 120SE 90SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 45SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 131.9W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 131.4W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 9.6N 133.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 10.0N 135.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 10.6N 136.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 11.3N 138.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 13.3N 141.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 15.0N 143.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 17.5N 143.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.4N 131.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

Tags: number advisory forecast hurricane