je.st
news
Tag: leslie
Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 48
2018-10-08 10:44:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON OCT 08 2018 000 WTNT23 KNHC 080844 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 0900 UTC MON OCT 08 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 47.9W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 200SE 180SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 360SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 47.9W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 48.5W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 34.3N 46.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 180SE 170SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 32.9N 44.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 180SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 31.1N 42.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 150SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 29.6N 41.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 28.8N 38.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 140SE 130SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 31.2N 30.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 36.8N 20.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N 47.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm Leslie Graphics
2018-10-08 04:44:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 08 Oct 2018 02:44:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 08 Oct 2018 03:22:06 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
leslie
Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Discussion Number 47
2018-10-08 04:42:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Oct 07 2018 000 WTNT43 KNHC 080242 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Leslie Discussion Number 47 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 PM AST Sun Oct 07 2018 Leslie's cloud pattern consists of a large and vigorous circulation, but the convection is shallow at this time. Dvorak numbers only support an initial intensity of 45 kt. Some fluctuations in intensity are expected over the next 24 to 36 hours, while Leslie is over fairly cool SSTs. After that time, Leslie will encounter warmer waters, and since the shear is low, some re-intensification is anticipated. Leslie will likely become a hurricane once again by the end of the week as indicated by the guidance. Leslie is still moving east-southeastward at about 11 kt. Since Leslie is embedded within the mid-latitude westerly flow, this general motion will likely continue for the next 2 days or so. This is consistent with most of the track guidance, which continue to show a southeastward motion of the cyclone during that period. Another shortwave trough in the westerlies will bypass the cyclone, but will modify the steering flow, and Leslie should then turn to the east-northeast. It should be emphasized that confidence in the track forecast remains low. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0300Z 35.7N 49.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 08/1200Z 35.2N 47.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 09/0000Z 33.8N 45.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 09/1200Z 32.0N 43.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 10/0000Z 30.5N 41.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 72H 11/0000Z 28.5N 39.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 12/0000Z 30.0N 33.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 120H 13/0000Z 32.0N 24.0W 60 KT 70 MPH $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Tropical Storm Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 47
2018-10-08 04:41:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON OCT 08 2018 000 FONT13 KNHC 080241 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 47 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 0300 UTC MON OCT 08 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PONTA DELGADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) PONTA DELGADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Summary for Tropical Storm Leslie (AT3/AL132018)
2018-10-08 04:40:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LESLIE APPEARS TO BE WEAKER BUT IT WILL RE-INTENSIFY... As of 11:00 PM AST Sun Oct 7 the center of Leslie was located near 35.7, -49.1 with movement ESE at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 989 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
leslie
Sites : [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] [39] [40] [41] [42] next »