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Tropical Depression JULIETTE Forecast Discussion Number 5
2013-08-29 22:47:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT THU AUG 29 2013 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 292047 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102013 200 PM PDT THU AUG 29 2013 THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH JULIETTE HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON. BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE LATEST SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB...THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS LOWERED TO 30 KT. THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPIN DOWN AS IT MOVES OVER COLDER WATERS WEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CYCLONE SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT JULIETTE HAS DECELERATED AS ANTICIPATED...AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/14 KT. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY WITH AN ADDITIONAL REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED. THE MODELS REMAIN IN AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO AND THE NEW NHC FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/2100Z 26.1N 113.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 30/0600Z 27.2N 115.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 30/1800Z 28.2N 118.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 31/0600Z 28.8N 120.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Summary for Tropical Depression JULIETTE (EP5/EP102013)
2013-08-29 22:46:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...JULIETTE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 2:00 PM PDT Thu Aug 29 the center of JULIETTE was located near 26.1, -113.8 with movement NW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression JULIETTE Public Advisory Number 5
2013-08-29 22:46:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT THU AUG 29 2013 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 292046 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102013 200 PM PDT THU AUG 29 2013 ...JULIETTE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.1N 113.8W ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM NW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM SE OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.8 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH... 26 KM/H. A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED EARLY FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JULIETTE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE WHILE IT MOVES PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA DEL SUR THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND JULIETTE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...JULIETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Depression JULIETTE Forecast Advisory Number 5
2013-08-29 22:46:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 29 2013 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 292046 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102013 2100 UTC THU AUG 29 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 113.8W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 113.8W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 113.3W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 27.2N 115.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 28.2N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 28.8N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 113.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Depression FERNAND Graphics
2013-08-26 17:08:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 26 Aug 2013 14:38:26 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 26 Aug 2013 15:04:44 GMT
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