je.st
news
Tag: depression
Tropical Depression NINE-E Graphics
2013-08-23 05:08:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 23 Aug 2013 02:33:45 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 23 Aug 2013 03:04:45 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression NINE-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2013-08-23 04:32:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 23 2013 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 230232 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092013 0300 UTC FRI AUG 23 2013 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 2 2 6 17 30 38 40 TROP DEPRESSION 32 23 26 41 44 44 43 TROPICAL STORM 66 70 61 39 25 18 17 HURRICANE 1 5 8 4 1 X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 1 5 7 4 1 X X HUR CAT 2 X X 1 X X X X HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35KT 40KT 40KT 30KT 25KT 20KT 20KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LORETO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA CLARION 34 1 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Summary for Tropical Depression NINE-E (EP4/EP092013)
2013-08-23 04:32:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY... As of 8:00 PM PDT Thu Aug 22 the center of NINE-E was located near 17.9, -112.7 with movement NNW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression NINE-E Graphics
2013-08-22 23:08:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 22 Aug 2013 20:43:27 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 22 Aug 2013 21:04:44 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression NINE-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
2013-08-22 22:34:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT THU AUG 22 2013 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 222034 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092013 200 PM PDT THU AUG 22 2013 THE CLOUD PATTERN OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS NOT BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE THIS MORNING. THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS EXPOSED JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION...AND THERE IS SOME CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE HELD STEADY AND THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 30 KT. THERE IS A RELATIVELY SHORT WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR THE CYCLONE TO STRENGTHEN...SINCE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD BEGIN TO DROP SIGNIFICANTLY IN 48 HOURS OR LESS. THE NHC WIND SPEED FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE INTENSITY MODEL CONSENSUS...AND JUST SLIGHTLY BELOW THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. LATEST CENTER FIXES INDICATE THAT THE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION...330/5...CONTINUES. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST OR REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL ANTICYLONE...AND TOWARD A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CAUSED BY A TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. THE GFS IS SLIGHTLY FARTHER EAST AND THE ECMWF IS FARTHER WEST...AND SLOWER. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION COULD BEGIN SURGING NORTHWARD TOWARD NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT 3 TO 5 DAYS...INCREASING THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/2100Z 17.7N 112.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 23/0600Z 18.5N 112.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 23/1800Z 19.7N 113.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 24/0600Z 21.1N 113.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 24/1800Z 22.7N 114.6W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 25/1800Z 25.5N 116.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 26/1800Z 27.5N 117.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 27/1800Z 27.5N 117.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Sites : [1581] [1582] [1583] [1584] [1585] [1586] [1587] [1588] [1589] [1590] [1591] [1592] [1593] [1594] [1595] [1596] [1597] [1598] [1599] [1600] next »